True, he did it in JOAT and he didn’t get caught. I noticed it after i died
Technically I think like this.
(Lynch Town= Bad. Lynch Bad=Good)
So, as I can see now, 6/16 are not town.
10/16 are town.
Town>Not Town.
We have no info. Higher chance of voting out town in RVS stage. People with better tongues will destroy weaker town. Thus, on a statistic level, no lynch.
Now lets go to where Marl is. The deep analysis.
Since there is a 6/16 of lynching a non-town, and lets assume that neutrals are going against town as well.
2 KPN, considering that NK only ever hits Town. It’ll take 2 nights for evils to hit majority if all neutrals support them.
But… We cannot assume. NK must kill off Evils as they cant win with them. They may be occupied as well. Thus lowering the KPN, to how much I dont know (Someone wanna do the math?). Thus, the NK can be considered a temporary ally.
You think that since its 2 nights, a d1 lynch is pretty decent, as even after a town lynch, you gain information and get an idea of who are the scum, while maintaining the 2 night majority.
You seem to be insinuating that we wont mislynch another time on d2. We dont even know what the unknown guy is, or the third Democrat is. Heck, is the other neutral HARMFUL or HELPFUL?
For me, since I have WAY too many doubts and uncertainties, I’m inclined to put a nolynch.
Uh hmm…
New stuff came out.
BUT LYNCHING SCUM IS ALWAYS GOOD.
Prove to meee that he is scum!!
tl;dr
No lynching is better than a mislynch. However, lynching scum is best. Also lots of unknown variables
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I question these unknown variables.
What can they be?
We need soldier out before we can discount that thing out.
But since I can’t read people for shit…
Lets sheep Marl yaes?
No lynching is like passing your turn in hearthstone without attacking with your minions.
Sure you can play minions, but you aren’t actually doing anything.
There are RARE exceptions for both of these, like sometimes you don’t want to attack into a hunter trap.
Sometimes No Lynch is fine if there are actual benefits, but this is not one of those situations.
Ok just got here but it’s seems everyone already confirmed so we’re jumping into Night One! No one was voted by majority so there is no lynch. Mod please lock this thread on 24 hours. Night One has begun.
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“For the immersion you can listen to this if you want.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUcscuOQGmg&list=PLz03h4sXl2_dtxe-9BhpLjw8q_XlKRr0U&index=3
“This is the disaster! The Queen was found dead in her own room! Whoever it was he must been disguised as servant! It’s the heavy blow against Monarchy.”
“The police also noticed in meantime they were 2 murders! Firekitten was found dead in the street!”
"He was the Informant!
“Hippolytus was found dead in the basement in Pharmacy! We found a death note next to the body:”
"He was the Surgeon!
“The Parliament is paralyzed! A regency council was established for the time of the interregnum.” It consists of three people who need to voted by majority of the people. Election for the first person is on! Lynch is available after Election."
"Day Two has begun! Majority is 7!
Welp
Something killed orange through my visit prevention
Twil1ght confirmed there were no mod errors
brb kms