how the fuck would you ever kill your teammate lol
you collapse worlds where the person you target is your teammmate
and if people were paying attention, they’d strategically target people they don’t want to be on a mafia team with
Still doesn’t change the fact that it isn’t really my doing but rather others not feeling the need to kill me.
So like.
its not your doing no
but its still your circumstance
^^^
If your not the killing mafia, your attack doesn’t go through?
Priority 1*.
If your not the killing mafia, your attack doesn’t go through?
correct (i.e. if you don’t have highest priority in those worlds), but your attack also doesn’t go through in worlds where both you and your target are mafia
Priority 1*.
yes. and of the worlds where any particular player is mafia, 1/4 of those are where they’re priority 1
yes. and of the worlds where any particular player is mafia, 1/4 of those are where they’re priority 1
but in worlds where Simon is mafia, I shouldn’t die in all of those worlds, if he doesn’t have highest priority in all of those worlds. If we assume all of us started with a close to average chance of being mafia, we all have roughly a 23.5% chance of being mafia. So if Simon has a 23.5% chance of being mafia, and within that 23.5%, he has a 25% chance of killing me because there are four mafia and we don’t know which one makes the kill, 0.235 * 0.25 = 0.05875 which means there is a 5.875% chance that I die on average, in any of those worlds.
but if Simon is the only one who targeted me and my death percentage is 6.02%, i.e. greater than 5.875%, that means Simon likely has higher priority and his kill goes before his teammates in worlds where he’s mafia.
so do you guys (other than Simon) see what I’m saying?
I feel like people are just like “Go Chop Chop! To the Chopping Block! Chop Chop!” “Don’t kill the Chop Chop, we Chop someone else!”
Simon can’t attack me again from what I understand.
but in worlds where Simon is mafia, I shouldn’t die in all of those worlds, if he doesn’t have highest priority in all of those worlds.
If we assume all of us started with a close to average chance of being mafia, we all have roughly a 23.5% chance of being mafia.
So if Simon has a 23.5% chance of being mafia, and within that 23.5%, he has a 25% chance of killing me because there are four mafia and we don’t know which one makes the kill, 0.235 * 0.25 = 0.05875 which means there is a 5.875% chance that I die on average, in any of those worlds.
but if Simon is the only one who targeted me and my death percentage is 6.02%, i.e. greater than 5.875%, that means Simon likely has higher priority and his kill goes before his teammates in worlds where he’s mafia.
I just did the math but mostly in my head before, so here it is calculated out neatly. do you see what I’m saying?
Huh… I had to hack your post into pieces before I can read them, but I finally understand you now.
Not really?
Like if you choose not to attack me I like won’t be attacked, invisible people don’t attack me.
Like did you attack me?
No, but my point was that it was weird how nobody attacked you despite (probably) not wanting to play with you.
Last one is during night
WindwardAway:Simon can’t attack me again from what I understand.
WindwardAway:but in worlds where Simon is mafia, I shouldn’t die in all of those worlds, if he doesn’t have highest priority in all of those worlds.
WindwardAway:If we assume all of us started with a close to average chance of being mafia, we all have roughly a 23.5% chance of being mafia.
WindwardAway:So if Simon has a 23.5% chance of being mafia, and within that 23.5%, he has a 25% chance of killing me because there are four mafia and we don’t know which one makes the kill, 0.235 * 0.25 = 0.05875 which means there is a 5.875% chance that I die on average, in any of those worlds.
WindwardAway:but if Simon is the only one who targeted me and my death percentage is 6.02%, i.e. greater than 5.875%, that means Simon likely has higher priority and his kill goes before his teammates in worlds where he’s mafia.
WindwardAway:I just did the math but mostly in my head before, so here it is calculated out neatly. do you see what I’m saying?
Huh… I had to hack your post into pieces before I can read them, but I finally understand you now.
ChopChop:Not really?
Like if you choose not to attack me I like won’t be attacked, invisible people don’t attack me.
Like did you attack me?No, but my point was that it was weird how nobody attacked you despite (probably) not wanting to play with you.
Not if they planned to vote for me the following day?
who did you target with your maf kill?
PKR
what were all your results?
so a 1/4 chance at killing pkr if we execute you.
im okay with that tbh
WindwardAway:he did decide to kill me specifically
bruh zone i literally already said this
My bad. I didn’t pay enough attention when 10+ players have submitted 5+ actions.
Zone_Q11:Hey @ChopChop, I will let you live if you can convince everyone to vote Derps.
I have no issues with voting Derps.
It’s not about you voting Derps.
You are currently the guy whom at least 4 people wish for your death. If you want to live through D2, then push all those attention to Derps instead.
what were all your results?
Mafia RC - YBW - VT
Cop - Marluxion - Mafia
oh yeah, I should mention, Seth said he healed me as well. So the only way I survive if Simon flips mafia is if Seth is doctor (which I think he said he has a very low chance of, right?)
tl;dr please don’t kill Simon yet lol