It’s the ideal role
thats a dumb decision tbh.
its hanging on the chance that im mafia, which is still about 1/4
its a bit higher than most other people perhaps, but not significantly so. you’d be better off spreading it throughout people, or even throughout other 0% dead people if you’re that hung up on it. (i suspect we will not be 0% past today if its any consolation)
the 0% thing would provide a noticeable increase, aka probably more than 1%, but the gorta-cop thing would be definitely less than a 2% increase which is definitely not significant
(note: while % here is prepresenting a portion of a whole, of the number of worlds to be exact, the math surrounding it is as if it were a unit, so a 2% increase means 10% chance would go to 12%, not 10.2%. if anyone would refer to the latter case, i suggest they say that explicitly, as although it is the default normally, it should not be that here)
as a standard in most fields, nothing is considered statistically significant until it goes over 10% 
i expect a few people have said something to this effect by now, but:
yes he does but it is not significant, so we do not risk much by going for someone with a <10% dead (i.e. not magnus or wazza), and we gain by having better players to work with alive
I feel like I kind of perpetuated the 0% elim pool but I did say if we vote to yeet anyone it should be fine as long as it isn’t Magnus, Wazza or Gorta.
huh. i actually wasnt aware of this. well then in that case, yeah the ~1% dead chance on derps checks out with this story, and would not preclude derps from being mafia despite that 1%
were i to flip priority 1 mafia, then that ripples back retroactively, pushing my kills through to 100% dead unless something can stop them. if someone/s protected windward on the night where i killed them, then it would be found out first if any of those were even possibly successful in protecting them, and then it would immediately be found out whether they succeeded or they didnt. if marl is the only one to protect them, and was not RB’d himself, then his role would immediately rand between JK/not JK according to his %s and either his JK % would go to 100 and windward would live or it would go to 0 and windward would die
There are a few things I am going to outline
- Percentages are extremely volatile so I’m not going to out them until they become more static or more relevant than random numbers
- I’m reading the thread one second
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i think.
its possible that it doesnt ripple that way and it would just be windward living on the % that marl is JK, and that their % alive would be exactly dependent on marl’s JK chance