| Maf RC | 0,00% |
|---|---|
| Goon | 22,86% |
| VT | 62,86% |
| E Vig | 5,71% |
| RBer | 0,00% |
| MDet | 0,00% |
| Doc | 0,00% |
| Cop | 0,00% |
| Voyeur | 8,57% |
I mean it makes sense
It’s not an opinion
It’s literally a fact that I have higher chance to flip town, higher chance to flip town PR than VT, lower chance to flip mafia and lower chance to flip mafia RC than PKR.
Flipping PKR is the objectively better desicion but people are playing towards personal bias just like Alchemist can in ToL
This is why alch is bad and needs removed from ToL
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But people are just somewhat hoping either I flip mafia even with worse chances of flipping mafia than PKR, they’ve lied about their percentages and have mafia leaning percentages trying to get me killed to save PKR or
they just want me dead to personal grudge/bias?
normally id say that unless someone protected kyo yes, but im not sure theres a world with town RB, protective, E-vig
so just yes i think
Ah. My bad. I got used to thinking everyone here living in America.
Probably because many people attacked you after you claimed to have ~1% Mafia in D2.
No you won’t(, I think). It’s just that -in case you flip as E Vig- Town would be wasting the D3 execution on a corpse.
–is what I think.
Your town chances also drop Simon if I don’t rand Cop simon
because my night action of cop gave me you as Town and if I die as anything but cop your chances of being town get erased in that timeline
…FOLKS, LYNCH ELI. He has 48.57% odds of flipping Mafia, and 25.71% odds of flipping VT. The rest are PR odds.
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Simon has ~31%.
PKR has 40%.
Kyo has ~37%.
Rome has ~37%.
Eli has ~48%.
The answer is obvious. Execute Eli.
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If anyone asks how I know this: I did something that is called “reverse engineering”, which is not hard to do once you got the stats of all-but-one players.
Sorry. I don’t believe too much in the words of someone who said:
–and then didn’t come back for 18 hours.