[FM] Quantum Mafia - Signups (17/17)

[Zone_Q11]

By the way, shouldn’t it be possible for the nightkill target to flip as Mafia?

[Magnus]

@eevee

The other main rule to keep in mind for factional kills is thus- If a Priority 1 Mafia member submits a kill on another Mafia member, that timeline ceases to exist, and the odds are changed accordingly.

In other words, as the game continues, possibilities will collapse rapidly, until eventually each player can only be a single role, which will cause this game to become a Normal™ game of mafia. We don’t know scenario it’ll be at the beginning, and in order to maximise your chances of winning Quantum Mafia, you will have to manipulate the odds such that you end up in the ideal timeline. Good luck.

Guess not.

[Magnus]

@eevee

In our simple setup, the odds are fairly simple- the players are dead according to the odds of them being mafia. However, in the actual game, the mathematics will end up being far more complicated.

[Zone_Q11]

Ah, thank you.
…holy crap, we are going to collapse so many probable worlds on N1.

[Zone_Q11]

Eevee was not joking about at least 40% collapse.

[Magnus]

Definitely.
We should just determine who’s the most afk, manipulate the odds to force them to be the mafia, and vote them out.

[Nerbins]

/spectate

[ChopChop]

@Rome

Can I be added to the player list?
/what the hell is this madness

Oh nice PFP.
I seen that Anime girl before I just don’t remember where.

[ChopChop]

GJ @Zone_Q11
I’m proud of you!

[Zone_Q11]

@ChopChop

I seen that Anime girl before I just don’t remember where.

Sinon. SAO 2.

@ChopChop

GJ @Zone_Q11
I’m proud of you!

…I don’t know how to feel from taking this compliment.

[Zone_Q11]

@eevee

P(A|B) where A = Cat A blowing up and B = Cat B blowing up =

P(AnB)/P(A) = 0.375/0.5 = 0.75

Hey @eevee, someone from NUF asked: “Shoudn’t the denominator be P(B)?”

[Zone_Q11]

(…ah ****. I tagged him at 5 AM in the morning.)
…sorry eevee.

[ChopChop]

@Zone_Q11

@ChopChop

I seen that Anime girl before I just don’t remember where.

Sinon. SAO 2.

@ChopChop

GJ @Zone_Q11
I’m proud of you!

…I don’t know how to feel from taking this compliment.

Yeah I love SAO, good Anime!

[ChopChop]

Yeah it’s the Sniper Chick

[Shurian]

I dont know
Pretty sure that one had no one flipping (no percentages being changed), thus that

But if percentages changed, rhen yes the kill becomes accordingly

[Zone_Q11]

@LiLi041

@Shurian

So 16.6 + 33.3 + 16.6 would be 66.6 yea (66666666)

But why is it 16.6 + 33.3 + 16.6?

According to the probabilities after E flipped town, A has a 16.6% chance of being mafia, B has a 33.3% chance of being mafia, and C has a 33.3% chance of being mafia.

Shouldn’t it be 16.6 + 33.3 + 33.3 in that case?

According to OP:

• D1 exe E; town. A and D are 16%; B and C are 33%.
• N1 C (33%) attacks D. 33% dead.
• D2 no exe.
• N2 A and B (16% and 33%) attacks D. 83% dead.

…okay, I see your point now. I think the OP is wrong as well:

@eevee

Let’s say that the players decide to execute nobody. However, A and B decide that they think D’s memes are cringe, and C decides that B is too strong of a player to live. On Day 3, the following announcement is posted:

Day 3 Begins
@PlayerA is still 16.6666…% dead.
@PlayerB is now 50% dead.
@PlayerC is still 33.3333…% dead.
@PlayerD is now 66.6666…% dead.
Discuss amongst yourselves who next to execute.

[Marluxion]

what are you all talking about this is just bastard mountainous

[Marluxion]

hey @eevee we got more signups

[Zone_Q11]

Do mountainous include PR?

[Shurian]

PR? Those exist?

I’m shaking in my boots now, I’m just a jailor who watches the person I jail and have a 3 shot day vig and 3 faction peeks