[FM] Ritual Mafia IV -- Day 4 (7/16) -- Heretics and Traitor Win!

you certainly seem to be more worried about yourself than the person who is probably the last investigative

who is set to suicide if scum isn’t hung today

https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Policy_Lynch

I mean I do like myself more than most other people yes

i suddenly feel very small

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hm

decent look for Apprentice

how many wolves do we see this list as containing

You don’t even understand who the fuck you’re dealing with. I have advanced degrees in statistics and computer science and I’ve created a simple program with an advanced algorithm that I’ve been working on for years. I have read and tracked over 600 forum mafia games, recording every fencesit, every association, every scumtell. I have over 50 documented, specific forms and versions of scumtells and towntells, and at this point I can just skim a thread and put it into my machine. I have reduced the cacophonous lies of forum mafia into a pure, beautiful mathematical formula, and it’s led me to literal hundreds of wins.
Why do I think you’re scum? I don’t deign to think about you myself. Instead, I thought about how to create a program to know mathematically whether you are scum. I don’t need to think about you, because my algorithm has determined that you are scum to an 87% certainty. You cannot beat those numbers at this stage in the game. We’re talking about a mere 13% chance that you are a town member so monumentally bad at this game that you fooled a computer program that has successfully identified over 500 unique mafia players as scum with over 96% accuracy. Your only defense, in other words, is that you are so naturally scummy that you’re an outlier.
Whether you’re town or mafia, this is a message from mathematics – you are bad at this game. You have played so scummy that a perfectly objective process has labeled you as scum. Whether that makes you bad at playing your specific rolecard or bad in general, there is no question that behaving like scum means you have not performed well. Consider this a welcome wakeup call, as hundreds have before you: If a player decides you’re scum, it’s possible you just got unlucky, but if a computer program can be that certain of your alignment, there are some serious holes in your game, because it means you’re scum in an objective sense, rather than a subjective one. For that reason, I’m willing to roll that die and take that 13% risk, because even if there’s a small chance you might be town, there’s not even a remote chance that you’re good.

honestly?

2

1 probably

do you think the wolves were expecting to sac kyo on D2

if so then 1-0

if not then 1-2?

actually

more serious question

was Kyo expecting yesterday that he would flip today

I feel like kyo is gamer enough to put 2 wolves in there as wolf

is there like a… rule of 5?

mindmeld

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mindmld with arete oh no

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I’m so fucking pissed off rn

Why does Brax feel like the convert

Are you dense

i mean braix was consensus town

i don’t think kyo wanted to be the sac
he was an emergency sacrifice to make sure i couldn’t clear any more players

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braixen doesnt know how to play the game without insulting people

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this isn’t a great look for Derps?

like it’s not the sort of aggressive defending he was doing with Appel, it’s a very soft sort of defending