[FoL] EFoL 3 - Cult Wins

ill be able to like actually post in like 1-2 hours

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Frost is weird, but I kind of got townpings from this post.

I don’t think he’d telegraph his potential night action target as scum.

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It’s a weird thing for town to do too tho

I’m not necessarily saying Magnus is scum, but I think there’s at least one scum in Kape and Magnus based on the Magnus wagon more-or-less arising as a counter to the Kape wagon, with some subsequent pushback in Kape’s direction. I was scumreading Magnus earlier for his weird progression but apparently that’s normal from him? I do think it’s possible that Kape is the scum in the pair, trying to push the wagon onto Kape for a mislynch.

I’m still really confused by what led to the bleed on Priestess.

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Can you iso frost real quick?

Meh. I think tracking or redirecting him would be better. At first I was thinking him being potentially a CL if this was a Cult game over his don’t occ me comments but since conversions begin n2 rather than n1 here, eh.

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Not really magnus wagon started because of people not being familiar with his meta

I legit just said all my posts are sincere. The pre-planned part of this post though, that’s an actual good reason. So, well done for that.

I always deny townreads.

most you say is tru though but it really dont see how you come to that conclusion from that

Frostwolf is still pretty null for me right now, but if I had to go one way or the other I’d put them as a very slight scumlean.

Explicitly saying the point at which you will unvote someone is probably not the maximally optimal way of putting pressure on someone but putting pressure on people is at least a slightly townie thing to do, albeit a pretty easy-to-fake one.

I dispute the suggestion that there are only two possible outcomes of this interaction.

This seems like a really weird post, to be honest. People being challenged for being inactive/lurking is as far as I can tell pretty common, in fact.

The attempt at a reaction test is promising even if people always complain when I try to use this particular one

Honestly, this defensiveness is pretty weird. Rather than trying to defend themself, they’re just complaining that people are scumreading them.

Overall, their reactions are kind of weird, and though they have made a couple of productive posts it feels more like an attempt at appearing to be productive than actually being productive. Still, I personally wouldn’t put them out of null yet, given their overall lack of posts. (…someone should probably let me know if Frost is one of the players who can be metaread solely based on activity.)

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Fuck this actually scared me-

Wha

I have FOBP

The hell

So my understanding is that a common scum tactic when there’s a wagon on a scumteam member is to push a wagon on another suspicious person to get them mislynched instead, to the point that ‘no meaningful counterwagon exists’ is very commonly a sign that the person the wagon on is town. Honestly, that would point to Kape being scum more than Magnus, but I’m not ready to say with confidence that it’s not the other way around. I’d probably support a Kape lynch over a Magnus one today, but I’d want to re-Iso both of them first.

Hmm, how did the Magnus wagon even begin?

I pushed on him for doing a 180 in less than 5 posts.

he sheeped king and everyone were like no u

Kale and Priestess hopped on him

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Even on the forums…