[FoL] FoL 21 - Day 5 - The Realm of The Fallen King - BD and Mercenary win! (6/16)

Forum Matches
#1422

Eliminate Possessed as we assume it’s a MM Possessed world. Who has pushed on Possessed?

Repeat Ezreal repeat Htm

#lazyMath

#1423

Honestly getting more MM vibes from Poss.

#1424

I think that’s what made me think Possessed MM actually, but I can see Convert point too.

#1425

And now you’re back in my scum pool.

#1426

I mean he did ask for checks.

And MM appears to be BD

#1427

HTM actually makes sense here.

If Poss is MM then he’s a godfather until mid/late game. So any check from Hja on him would be green.

2 Likes
#1428

Yeah so Met dies tonight and in theory all killers dead.

What I find odd is that no perfunctory “oh no” I am caught bleed yet.

#1429

That’s the big thing that gives me pause.

#1430

I have a radical idea.

#1431

Alice what if there was no convert? What do you think the odds of that are?

#1432

Htm is meta clear
Hjasik is omegalulling but its very tempting to believe her
Alice is town lead. I like

Imma be back

#1433

They would have to attempt to convert a neutral/prince I think

So not that high of a chance.

#1434

Actually
Converting failed means

Prince/Jailed/Deadderinoes
I say its a pretty high chance

2 Likes
#1435

Especially when both deaths are
Marg

#1436

Completely forgot about dead or jailed.

So dead/jailed/neutral/prince.

1 Like
#1437

Would scum convert Marg?

#1438

Actually now that I think about it…

…Marg is usually unreadable so she would be a great convert.

#1439

I am thinking we just lynch Possessed tomorrow and see if we even have a game

#1440

Yes and neut too

Note: I want to read up but I cant read up at this point in time, be back in an hour

#1441

Since the MM can’t target themselves, the King, or the Assassin, then this removes 3 non-convertable players from the pool. The ones that can’t be converted that the MM does not know their identity are the 1/2 neutrals, the NK, and the Prince. Being that the NK was jailed n1 then this removes the conversion failed if jailed theory. So out of the 13 remaining players, 9 or 10 should be able to be converted.

So the odds of a convert failing n1 is between 3/13 or 4/13 if done randomly, lower if done based on reads.

Which kind of brings me back to Squid here as if Poss is the MM then she’s not as clear as before.