In short, as a wolf rather than focusing on not getting lynched try focusing on getting villagers lynched. Build cases from their misplays and slips and push them. Build worlds where you’re village and they’re wolves and present them why your target is likely to flip W.
As village you should rely on the most likely outcome rather than chance, but still keeping the unlikely as a possibility. As a wolf, try making a case on why the unlikely is likely and then push it as truth.