So as before I’m going to post the readlist that would have been in my logs if I’d died last night. Obviously last night’s events render some of these false.
Kape - basically locktown, unless he got converted. He’s been acting really BD, as I wrote last time, and I see nothing to prompt me to revise that assessment.
Frostwolf - Their princess claim seems basically trustworthy, and they correctly identified Kai’s classtype, despite being obviously unable to be on a scumteam with them. They’ve also been acting basically BD.
Launchpad - The only way I see this being anything other than BD is if they’re a scorned who disguised Andrej as the Assassin. The ‘I bountied Andrej’ plan is otherwise ridiculously risky, and would pretty much guarantee that they’d be outed. Anyway, this seems pretty obviously a real noble.
Alice - with Alice cleared from potential assassin-i-ness, I think the most likely option is that she’s BD. I have reason to believe she isn’t the MM, and while she could be the NK my reasons for suspecting her yesterday were predicated on the idea of a Jake/Alice scumteam.
HTM - Probably GK? I’m not really sure, but they seem to be acting GK, apart from that super sketchy quickhammer on Andrej.
Jake - I don’t want to believe he’s BD, I really don’t, but my main theory on how he could be non-BD was the Jake/Alice scumteam. With that having been proven wrong, I think it’s more likely that Alice’s read on him is honest, and therefore that he’s BD. The one thing I want to do is to count the kills tonight from non-BD sources; if he really was the MM, Unseen couldn’t have killed tonight, since the night 1 convert would have failed with him in jail.
Null/I’m confused:
Bazinga - I’m still not sure what was up with that weird attack-Launchpad-the-Prince thing, but everyone else seems to be reading them as BD on the grounds that they’re just like that. They’re going in this section because everyone else is convinced they’re BD.
Kai - How much I trust Kai depends a lot on (a) whether Kai is dead to bleed tomorrow night, and (b) what happens with the EotW CS. If they successfully manage a CS on EotW they’re basically confirmed, particularly if EotW flips Fool over alch; even if it doesn’t work, I do actually think EotW would be a better first exe as the likely NK/MM (and thus the likely person-who-can’t-be-CS’d). I do still wish they’d followed the night plan, and it’s not impossible that they were the N1 convert who found EotW the MM Death Immune and then had to come up with an explanation for that.
Wazza - Third noble claim, and bountied the worst possible target. Also, the person who knew their claim is dead – but there was always the risk of them outing Wazza’s claim in their logs, unless Wazza is an NK with the capability to alter them. Might have been trying to make themself look BD with a noble claim, since noble is hard to fakeclaim.
Scum:
Gikkle - Very slight scumlean, mostly because a null read at this point is a scum read (since most BD have done something to look BD).
Mincinmind - Same general idea as Gikke, but moreso. They’re being bountied, so they’re basically a safe exe, except in as much as BD runs the risk of losing majority by lynching members. Let’s not exe this eight hours into the day this time.
EotW: So incredibly, obviously scummy. If this isn’t dead to Kai’s CS it should be the lynch after Mince. Their push on Andrej doesn’t really line up with their suspicion on them as MM, but there is absolutely no way that EotW flips BD.
