[FoL] FoL 22 - The Blue Dragon and Scorned Win!

It’s not there anymore.

So okay Archer/Hunter/Knight along the lines.

By the way, @Gikkle, since you’re outed, I’d appreciate if you’d post your N1/N2 logs.

Yeah that’s true now I think about it.

Yes Arete, you want to finish you want to type?

Oh, I think I left the textbox open.

I do still want to write up an analysis of our possible lynch candidates for today (though I still think it should be EotW, as a suspected NK), but right now I’m trying to do my actual real-world job.

Alice/ Wazza/ EotW are a consideration for lynch.

2/3 of them are confirmed scum.
Getting EotW out miiiight help us the most since we got Knight’s to CS the rest.

I could probably Bounty Wazza tonight if we’re not certain he’s evil.

I think you can only use the unlimited-use ability, not the limited use one. (Also, can you still use Possessed’s corpse?)

“Infinite use”, you’re right, so that’s not a plan.

@JakeTheWolfie can you use Change Sheets on Minci and Possessed? We’re almost 100% certain they are both NK kills, but just to make sure it wasn’t a Bear or some shit.

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Sure

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Lynching EotW comes down to this: Could he lie about everything that well and deflect accusations like that as NK?

People we could lynch today, and whether we should lynch them:
No, why would you even suggest that
Me - I’m the consensus townread at this point, and I’m dying to bleeding anyway.
Kape - Is BD, and also was bled today, so we don’t even really have to worry about Kape getting converted.
Possessed - Can we even lynch Possessed? Either way, Possessed’s faction is linked to Kape’s.
Kai - Allegedly dying to bleeding tonight, and thus is self-resolving. Also, we want Kai to CS Alice.
Launchpad - Why would we waste time on a Scorned?
Jake - Either Mince’s flip was accurate, in which case Jake (having been jailed N1) cannot possibly be starting cult, or Jake, after being jailed N1, eraded N2. I really this the second option is unlikely, so Jake is, at worst, the N2 convert after a missed N1.
Lauchpad - Why on Earth would we waste time on a Scorned, especially a Scorned who’s willing to vote with us?
Maybe
HTM - if we seriously think HTM is EK, it might not be a total waste to remove those two votes. Still, I think we need to focus on the outed confirmed scum, which somehow we have more than one of.
Frostwolf - if we really think Frostwolf is the convert … then we still shouldn’t lynch them, but it at least would be less than a total waste.
Gikkle - depends on how much we trust them. Another likely candidate for N1 convert, since if they aren’t the drunk who redirected Alice then we have to assume that like six people targeted Alice. Might also be a Warlock.
Wazza - Sus noble. Might be fake. This is probably self-resolving with a bounty on another sus person but by the time it goes off it might be too late, and actually now that I think about it they’re probably out of charges.
Baz - Suspected N1 convert.
Actually good choices
Alice - Confirmed cult. I still think this is better handled by a CS, but if we want to go with the option where we definitely hang a scum player today, or if we think cult is in danger of getting numbers, this is the one.
EotW - Suspected NK. The most BD thing EotW could be is a Warlock; if that’s the case, we might still want them out, though I’d really rather get the NK out. I really think this is the NK, based on Kai’s failed CS, but it’s possible I’m wrong.

Oh shoot I put Launchpad in their twice.

I’m not convinced that EotW has been doing a particularly good job of lying and/or deflecting accusations. We’ve basically had them as open scum since D1, and they’re pretty much confirmed as not the Fool.

Here’s the thing: If Kai doesn’t die, he’s NK we just gave free pass to. Same with Wazza. Alice I can guarantee isn’t NK and neither is EotW

The least convert you will expect, then again I would lie about being unable to investigate Alice.

Everything EotW posted from D1 on indicates neut scum.

I still don’t understand how we came to the conclusion that it’s not EotW. I’m probably just missing something, but can someone walk me through how we got there?

EotW pretty much openwolfed D1. If he’s NK, that’s a throw; if he’s Neut scum that’s a strategic play to draw all the attention.

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