[FoL] FoL 22 - The Blue Dragon and Scorned Win!

I’m ping-ponging him between Newbie Town vs Newbie Unseen. I don’t think he is Neutral at least.

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Pretty sure it’s fake since outing d1 in rolemadness is downright anti-town
I don’t think scum has the balls, but possible third party

Hi alice i played tol a bit not much really but I dont know what is cultist laughs i think there was cult in my first game but i didnt read that one

Read this: https://forum.imperium42.com/t/fol-class-cards-now-officially-official/1998/5
Actually, read the BD part of it (above) too.

From the way that he’s confident this is an Unseen game then he likely has inside information.

I imagine this could be a potential slip depending on future circumstances.

Blockquote[quote=“bazingaboy, post:114, topic:77268, full:true”]
Hard townreading launchpad as prince, scum should kill the m tonight
[/quote]

Okay, let’s look at these two posts. These posts in conjunction feel really scummy to me. Analyzing different possibilities here:

  1. Bazinga is the prince, and trying to either make evils think they aren’t the real prince, or trying to get protectives on them who might otherwise read them as scummy and leave them undefended. The second post suggests that the first option isn’t the case, since if they are trying to avoid being read as prince, saying they’re prince would be kind of a bad idea, I think.
  2. Bazinga is a hunter trying to bait attacks. But then, why the first post? Is it to make it a less blatantly obvious hunter-bait? And why hardclaim prince (thus likely getting jailed) rather than softclaiming it?
  3. Bazinga is a knight, hoping to attack evils who target Launchpad. I still don’t see why the second post is necessary if that’s the case – I guess maybe it occurred to them belatedly that other BD killers might want to kill them?
  4. Bazinga is Cultseen, and thinks Launchpad is the real prince. I don’t think it’s this one, because they could just tell their basement buddy who to target, though it’s possible Bazinga is cult and trying to signal the NK to do it for them.
  5. Bazinga is Cultseen, and trying to get protectives off their actual prince read and onto Launchpad, and then added the second post to try to look less scummy.
  6. Bazinga is the NK trying to signal the Cultseen to kill the prince. I don’t think it’s this one, mostly because I don’t think an NK would do something that looks so obviously scummy.
  7. Bazinga is an unfriendly neutral. Sellsword here seems like a likely option, if they’re trying to signal Unseen buddies to go attack Launchpad, but they could also be a Fool trying to look scummy (I think that’s still a thing it benefits you to do given the FoL fool wincon), or a Warlock using carnage day 1. I’d be surprised if they have a prince read strong enough to do the first or the third, but it’s not impossible.
  8. Bazinga is an alchemist, hoping to prevent an attack on Launchpad.

I think it’s 7, but I guess I don’t have a principled justification for that.

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Town for effort
Holy fuck

Not sure why the formatting on the first quote didn’t work. Oh well.

Delete “Blockquote” then it should be fine

Wrong reply

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I dont agree kido unseen want to give effort to look like town and she was trying to find if he is prince or not so i cant say i agree with you

Starting to like this newbie.

Scum struggle hard to actually fakesolve without giving up too much information.

Agree

I will read this when I have time oh boy it is too long how do people here memorize everything abput it laughs

I dont agree what kind of information the scum can give by just posting

Additionally, a wolf would keep Prince hunting in their own chat.

This looks like genuine solving rather than a PR hunt.

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If their progression is terrible, they can out themselves
If their reasoning doesn’t make sense in the context of the current thread placement, they out themselves

Is Frost overconfidence AI

@JakeTheWolfie still waiting btw.

@Ami @Andrej @Wazza come say hi.

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