[FoL] Forum of Lies 25 - Day 4 - Valiant Sacrifice - The Blue Dragon and Inquisitor win!

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#3930

At worst frost is mm/nk but almost definitely not assassin

Mm is bleed immune and so is every nk iirc

#3931

and inq is too lul

#3932

There should be just like 4 mafia peeps right?

#3933

Since it’s mastermind I remember you guys telling me it was like 3 underlings and 1 mastermind

#3934

there are three

one is kyle who is mastermind

the other two are the assasin(team with the mastermind) and the neutral killer(by themselves)

2 of alexej/frost/napoleon are the assasin and neutral killer.

#3935

at the start of the game there’s two unseen

they converted nuclear_rehab n1, who we killed n2

unseen cannot convert again until n3 (tonight) but we know with very high certainty who the mastermind is, so they should be jailed tonight

there’s also a neutral killer and 1/2 neutrals, one of those neutrals being marshal

#3936

Ohhh so it’s guaranteed they are all evil. It just depends on who flips who

#3937

d2*

the mastermind is the one who converts, so unless we’re wrong then there won’t be any converts tonight and our only goal is to find both the assassin and neutral killer

#3938

if you lot are not all convinced

there is a 33% that each of alexej, napoleon, and frost are NK

and a 50/50 chance that alexej or napeoleon is assasin.

meaning that if you add the 50% chance of napoleon being assa to the 33% of him being NK

you have a 83% chance of hitting mafia with this.

#3939

I would be all up to kill the possible NK/assassin if it weren’t for the fact that our killing abilities also require us to know who is visiting who

#3940

okay back fellas

#3941

thats even more of a reason to lynch the assasin or NK today

because your abilities are going to have a hard time stopping them

#3942

i don’t think the end result is how math works

#3943

i don’t see the flaws there are in this math

#3944

Napoleon we are discussing your exile from France after losing to the British

#3945

Napoleon if i were you i honestly would selfvote if you are blue dragon.

if you are BD know that your lynch solves the assasin and the NK(winning BD the game)

#3946

Marshal as a lynch and Kyle as a jail is still the best move, objectively.

#3947

I do have the ability to follow, and you can HM someone sus to me - if you want to bleed someone

1 Like
#3948

i mean its clear you are desperate to not get lynched today.

1 Like
#3949

Marshal we can’t self vote. I tried in D2