[FoL] Forum of Lies 27 - 10 day FoL (2/18) - Blue Dragon win

This one.

Hopefully we can listen.

Okay, but seriously, how is Alice mech-confirmed Assassin again? Because of Vul empowering her? You do know that Warlock is a thing, right?

Fine then.

lemme also grab the bleed interaction

I may as well out everything I know here.

Thereā€™s no way Vulgard outs this as N1 convertā€¦thatā€™s throw territory.

Vulgard HAS to be town.

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ok so vulgard has info but is being a dummi

so does alice wolf = EVO wolf here?

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Also, I am solving using mechanics here. I think groupscum bleeding the King is overwhelmingly unlikely and as such Iā€™m attributing this to the NK, which would have to be the Demon (because they bled someone). NK generally has a hard time getting rid of the King and so bleeding them could make things easier.

Because Wazza was so hesitant to bleed someone day 2, and because his POV seems to be ā€œkill as many people as possibleā€ and yet it doesnā€™t match his behavior around the bleed (ā€œiā€™m not gonna waste my bleed!!!ā€), I think he has massive NK equity.

Poss/Marshal/Chloe are wolves based on interactions (Marshal/Possessed) and because of their reaction to my info on Alice (immediately jumping to the conclusion Alice is ā€œouted wolfā€), which was done by Chloe and Possessed. Also, Possessed was jailed N1 and there was -1 KP that night. No protectives exist and the two occupiers targeted each other. No way KP was removed in any other way than jail, and thereā€™s no way Possessed was attacked N1 by anyone outside of BD because he was wolfy. Which only leaves the possibility that Possessed is wolf KP.

Marshal has to be MM because he was greenchecked by Squid N1. Heā€™s a wolf because at EoD2, he TMIā€™d me and Braixen as V/V wagons and he put on a big performance ā€œdefendingā€ Braixen. Despite saying that I was a wolf over and over, and despite defending Braixen, he did not make an effort to shift the wagons and get me lynched instead of Braixen. How did he TMI the wagons as V/V? He selfvoted instead of pushing my wagon. Thatā€™s when it dawned on me that Braixen must have been a villager. Marshal clearly did not care about saving Braixen if he voted to execute him in the GT without defending him, and if he selfvoted instead of voting on my wagon.

Chloe is a wolf because she jumped to a conclusion about Alice being wolf in a way that showcased extreme opportunism. She was villagery day 1, but this moment just now was massively uncharacteristic of her and indicates conversion.

I think thatā€™s all I have regarding my cases on who the wolves are. Can we lynch them now or do I still have to explain something?

I already explained this.

Get a better read on me.

i think so

god damnit vulgard

when poss/chloe/marshal is alltown i expect a true and real apology.

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it is brother

im trying to compile shit on this bleed interaction and show why i sus alice

ā€œMy reads are godly, I donā€™t need mech infoā€

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Notice how all of four of them are pretty much ignoring what I say rn because they know Iā€™m right and they canā€™t have that. Theyā€™ve also been doing their best to shut me down in the thread when I was wolfreading them and pushing on them.

Thatā€™s my gamesolve, Iā€™ve played all my cards, and if we donā€™t lynch them now, they might have enough KP to reach voting parity tomorrow (241 hasnā€™t been used yet). Letā€™s start lynching the wolves, villagers.

god vulgard iā€™ve seen inflated Ego before.

but if you are town here this might be the biggest thing iā€™ve seen ever

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And I wonā€™t even mention how much shade has been thrown my way from these slots throughout the game. They are just not villagers, their intention is to shut me the hell down, and to kill as many villagers as they possibly can. They. Are. Wolves. And we have to kill them all.

So lets say EVO is MM. What are the odds they donā€™t have a convert?

I rest my case.

ā€¦ throughout the game? Bro I townread you like hell until today. Doesnā€™t mean there isnā€™t a possibility you are still town. Youā€™re moved to null for me because im genuinely confused