[FoL] Forum of Lies 27 - 10 day FoL (2/18) - Blue Dragon win

I’m not sold on the Ami lynch yet.

i think EVO is more likely wolf.

He clearly knows how to read me if he can figure out my alignment within an hour of game start, and yet I’m sitting here enduring his push against all odds and despite the stuff I’ve done which I’d never been able to do as a wolf.

i mean i misread you in evo mafia and rokugan.
so i feel like you are being unfair here. I don’t have a soulread on you

NAI for me. I’m almost bipolar when it comes to that stuff. In fact, I’d say I’ve only ever done that as a villager. “Fuck this, let’s take a different approach. Throw reads into garbage bin.”

@Marshal

Can you go into more specifics why you believe Vulgard is W?

I have a theory. It’s likely completely wrong - but a theory nonetheless.

Braix & Marshal starting groupscum. Marshal wants to avoid the Braix lynch as it outs the groupscum type?

Idk if I want to lynch Ami because she’s not playing the game. Wolf lynch > rand lynch.

Also, Gypyx has fewer posts than the host does. What an amazing replacement.

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And frankly I dislike how ridiculously rigid your reads have been as well. I’d expect for them to change over time as more information is presented and lynching becomes open, but so far there has been very little change. Why’s that?

I think he’s been converted. He shifted a lot d2 and i made that vid to fully understand that.

at the 20 mark is the reads he had EoD1

like right out of the gate he flipped his poss and EVO reads on the head. I don’t like those vibes.

also i think his PoE of ami/me/braix/derps contains all villa around 50% or more of the time. I think he’s a powerwolfing convert

Ami is a full-on Null for me. They haven’t contributed much.

Some things im keeping secret intentionally. Will not elaborate for a decent bit of time.

and i am trying to have fluidity for my reads. I’m paying attention to the braix slot because i don’t think that’s lock wolf. I’m trying to figure out wazz + poss + vul + EVO + all of these people. but i’ve been more in defense mode of myself and those i beleive to be town, since thread seems so utterly against myself and braix and ami.

Why do i have the feeling im going to be dead as hell come tomorrow

The fact that Marshal initiated a RT on Braixen, which Braixen promptly failed, and then Marshal didn’t immediately peg him as lockscum and flip-flopped on him despite being the person who initiated the RT makes me think they could be a team.

As for your take, I’m not sure if hiding the scum faction here is all that beneficial. It mattered more in Virtuous because the two factions have more distinct playstyles. BD are stronger every second night and have offensively stronger abilities on average, HoB have less offensive power but it’s more consistent and they have more manipulative abilities.

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Yeah thats the meaning of the question mark lmfao

Glad to see my theory isnt all that insane tho

Braix was always pretty wolfy. His posts early d2 basically made everyone pile on him which is why Vulgard’s read on him dropped. EVO, as I said above, had a complete change with his posts. Seth also reverted to his town meta. I don’t think Vulgard is wolfy as I had the same change in reads as him.

Also during the night Vulgard also thought that Poss was a wolf.

me being the RT initiator has nothing to do with this. All can publicly see all aspects of it. I’ve seen a fair share and done a fair share of RT’s done and I think braix could still be villager.

I “caught” poss off of an RT in SFoL57 because he thought he was scum lost wolf when he was in fact town because he didn’t read OP. i found that so absurd that I tunneled him and didn’t consider that he could be right.

Disagree on braix. the only reason i really have to scumread him is the reactiontest, and i’m not sold on that. Otherwise i think he’s villager.

Why do you think Braix is villagery?

Also the reason everyone wants to lynch Ami is because she’s effectively a free lynch, so it’s more mechanical bullshit than reads. I’d expect if Ami is V then the wolves are probably mostly on her as this is basically a free mislynch without any culpability.

heavy agenda marshal is scum marshal
the only issue is that i can’t see a difference in marshal’s tone because i never actually give it much thought