[FoL] Forum of Lies 27 - 10 day FoL (2/18) - Blue Dragon win

Forum Matches Completed
#15403

There’s a very high chance that 1 Unseen is Snake.

#15404

Would Chloe not take a guess that Dat is assassin to confirm her occupy?

#15405

Assuming she’s the NK.

#15406

I’m not sure about that but I don’t like her progression then regression towards the slot.

#15407

I protected… myself. Since I already outed that I’d be protecting Italy, I thought that @Vulgard would be already on him with Ice Ward.

The process with Dat, Chloe, Poss and Snake is… weird now that I think about it. It literally all depended on Snake, who we don’t know anything about, which is why I am -only currently- paranoid of him. Napoleon already pushed the possibility of him being Neut, and with NK alive, there is no telling of what will happen to us next.

Also, who was it that said that we should forget about Snake and focus on CRich? To that person, do you know whether CRich can act like town when he isn’t? I know nothing about said guy, and I haven’t ISO’d him yet.

1 Like
#15408

CRich was incredibly townie as of d2. He is extremely genuine and pure and was very upset after he voted Ami for the bounty. I don’t see a world where he is n1 convert. N2 convert is very possible

#15409

Zone who did you use allies on?

#15410

Well… I love me some theories though. So let’s see, what was supposed to happen to Dat was:

  • Snake attack
  • Dat selfheal
  • Chloe occ
  • Poss heal

…for starters, let’s work with “there is only 1 evil” theories, since it’d be a mess to suddenly work with “there are 2 evils” and “there are 3 evils” theories. So let’s work step by step on “what if one of these don’t work”.

  • If Snake doesn’t attack: Nothing happens
  • If Dat doesn’t selfheal: Nothing happens
  • If Chloe doesn’t occ: Nothing happens
  • If Poss doesn’t heal: DatBird dies

…huh. Only one world is different. But let’s go to “if 2 of these don’t work”. For my convenience, let’s abbreviate the names to 1 letters:

  • DP: Dat dies
  • D_, S_, C_: Nothing

Dat only dies if neither Dat nor Possessed healed Dat, but… does everyone see the point yet? If not, let’s continue to the next world, where only 1 does the job:

  • S: Dat dies
  • C, D, P: Nothing

Long story short, there are too many possible worlds where the result is “nothing happens” if all 4 people target on Dat.

#15411

That assumes he is the only convert.
What about N3?

I didn’t use it… I forgot I had it until about 12 hours after EOD.

#15412

For starters, I think I will use it now so I don’t have to think later…

1 Like
#15413

could be n3 convert as well

Would mean we have 2 unseen currently as there was (probably) an assa kill n3

#15414

Think you can always change it
But good to have a placeholder. At least on prince

#15415

I dont think the plan was for possessed to heal dat

1 Like
#15416

It was occ, eagleshot, selfheal

#15417

Even if that wasn’t the plan, the results are still the same. Or rather, it widens the idea that Dat will live.

#15418

My occ on dat makes me feel like i was successful in targeting the assassin

But why he didnt die makes no sense to me

#15419

Also, I’m still not thinking that Alice tells the truth, so I will go for the other option:

/vote DryBones

#15420

There were no nightkills when i occd him

#15421

@Amelia i think youre around for vc. maybe

#15422

…Dat N1, Snake N3? I dunno. Either that, or [Dat isn’t Assa] or [Snake didn’t attack].