Jeez Napoleon how did you know!
My message to Wolfgard
You don’t even understand who the fuck you’re dealing with. I have advanced degrees in statistics and computer science and I’ve created a simple program with an advanced algorithm that I’ve been working on for years. I have read and tracked over 600 forum mafia games, recording every fencesit, every association, every scumtell. I have over 50 documented, specific forms and versions of scumtells and towntells, and at this point I can just skim a thread and put it into my machine. I have reduced the cacophonous lies of forum mafia into a pure, beautiful mathematical formula, and it’s led me to literal hundreds of wins.
Why do I think you’re scum? I don’t deign to think about you myself. Instead, I thought about how to create a program to know mathematically whether you are scum. I don’t need to think about you, because my algorithm has determined that you are scum to an 87% certainty. You cannot beat those numbers at this stage in the game. We’re talking about a mere 13% chance that you are a town member so monumentally bad at this game that you fooled a computer program that has successfully identified over 500 unique mafia players as scum with over 96% accuracy. Your only defense, in other words, is that you are so naturally scummy that you’re an outlier.
Whether you’re town or mafia, this is a message from mathematics – you are bad at this game. You have played so scummy that a perfectly objective process has labeled you as scum. Whether that makes you bad at playing your specific rolecard or bad in general, there is no question that behaving like scum means you have not performed well. Consider this a welcome wakeup call, as hundreds have before you: If a player decides you’re scum, it’s possible you just got unlucky, but if a computer program can be that certain of your alignment, there are some serious holes in your game, because it means you’re scum in an objective sense, rather than a subjective one. For that reason, I’m willing to roll that die and take that 13% risk, because even if there’s a small chance you might be town, there’s not even a remote chance that you’re good.
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Well, he unironically could before if enough people didn’t bother reading him.
But he can’t anymore.
Actually, you know what might be the final nail in the coffin? This:
Specifically, this part:
they are likely Scorned who might flip me as Unseen
It’s pretty much an admission.
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If I were Prince at this stage…
I’d consider faking a redcheck on him as a Sheriff claim
Actually I could consider faking a S/S flirt on Kat right now.
Go in with moderate subtlety, something like “Vulgard is unironically right here, I have information on Kat but I didn’t want to out it earlier since he never hardclaimed.” just to see his reaction.
But I mean I already know he’s scum so that would just sow distrust for no reason :^)