is it my fault for trying to seem like not the cop so i don’t get night killed? no, it isn’t
if i want to defend my checks then i can
thoughts on geyde trying to cause a mislynch on probably the last cop?
already said i would go read through the thread later so you’re going to have to wait for that
I claimed a unique class, and haven’t gotten cc’d. The likelihood of me trying to push a mislynch is low, considering a cc yesterday would have certainly gotten me killed.
I have a plan but if Maxi is right about Luxy then why werent there any other kills?
The question here is, is it more likely for scum to roll a Cheater than it is for us to roll two Tag Teamers?
The logic here is that cheater always makes shooter appear town to invest n1.
There are only 7 slots remaining for a second tag teamer given that me, poke, maxi, and eevee all did not claim tag teamer.
3/4 scum classes are not cheater
There are 3 random scum classes
3/4 divided by 3 is 1/4. So a 25% chance scum did NOT roll cheater.
Note: These calcs are not exact, due to having to account John Cena
There is 6-7 random town left (not claimed), but for this I will assume that there is 7 town considering no obvious neut leans.
7 town remaining.
7/8 potential town classes are not Tag Teamer, the only class that could prevent an attack and thus clear Luxy.
7 * 1/8 = 7/8, or somewhere around 87.5% that there is another tag teamer.
However, these numbers are the best case scenario.
Do we trust the 75% there is a cheater tho? And the 33% chance the the shooter was chosen to show up NS
I do think we can trust the 75% of cheater. Giving scum no way to strongman would be kind of annoying to deal with.
Shooter is most valuable to keep as NS. They are the easiest to find as evil (being killing) so changing their results would be best.
/vote Hja
I’m personally fine with either Luxy or Hja but PKR apparently knows Luxy’s class
Can we vote Luxy please? They will most likely will kill tonight anyways since I probably wont be able to occ them again
Mathematically speaking going for the Luxy lynch has a higher probability of working than dunking on Hja.
Although Hja have a history of being active as town in games, forcing the scum to completely change their strategy as a result of Shooter’s death has a higher payoff.
