i dont have night actions
87% Accuracy
You donāt even understand who the fuck youāre dealing with. I have advanced degrees in statistics
and computer science and Iāve created a simple program with an advanced algorithm that Iāve been working on for years. I have read and tracked over 600 forum mafia games, recording every fencesit, every association, every scumtell. I have over 50 documented, specific forms and versions of scumtells and towntells, and at this point I can just skim a thread and put it into my machine. I have reduced the cacophonous lies of forum mafia into a pure, beautiful mathematical formula, and itās led me to literal hundreds of wins.
Why do I think youāre scum? I donāt deign to think about you myself. Instead, I thought about how to create a program to know mathematically whether you are scum. I donāt need to think about you, because my algorithm has determined that you are scum to an 87% certainty. You cannot beat those numbers at this stage in the game. Weāre talking about a mere 13% chance that you are a town member so monumentally bad at this game that you fooled a computer program that has successfully identified over 500 unique mafia players as scum with over 96% accuracy. Your only defense, in other words, is that you are so naturally scummy that youāre an outlier.
Whether youāre town or mafia, this is a message from mathematics ā you are bad at this game. You have played so scummy that a perfectly objective process has labeled you as scum. Whether that makes you bad at playing your specific rolecard or bad in general, there is no question that behaving like scum means you have not performed well. Consider this a welcome wakeup call, as hundreds have before you: If a player decides youāre scum, itās possible you just got unlucky, but if a computer program can be that certain of your alignment, there are some serious holes in your game, because it means youāre scum in an objective sense, rather than a subjective one. For that reason, Iām willing to roll that die and take that 13% risk, because even if thereās a small chance you might be town, thereās not even a remote chance that youāre good.
I have no strong reads on this point
But I donāt think PKR is scum
And I see no reason to execute Amelia
I think that EVO is absolutely obviously lying and Amelia picked a logical target which reinforces that to me.
