for me it’s 0/100
in the thunderdome everything is clear
How is it not 50/50?
I’m implying that MM is in people alive or “misslynched”. Also couldn’t be among those who were executed correctly.
That’s half of the game.
What’s more MM is more likely to be able to somehow survive a murder for balance reasons.
Your argument that MM can be already dead is covering 50% of playerbase.
In realistic PoV, I think it’s less.
mm can die like anyone else
I don’t think it’s thunderome to begin with.
You believe 2 people clearing each other at moment when it’s 3 vs 2.
That’s my problem.
you see this is kind of the issue
firstly you’re assuming this, which is a 50/50 in itself
secondly, you’re assuming that if the MM is within the living players we will get it right, when our chance is much smaller than getting the blackened right
zap got Trees’d™
Socially gorta is clearer than you @Italy
Plus gorta is known to be inactive, so like I doubt they really had enough wim to murder someone over staying in place.
But while it could be you, on the other hand… it could also just not be you and we are argueing about stupid stuff instead of going for real wincon - which is eliminating MM.
We don’t win via eliminating murderer.
We win via eliminating MM.
So again - for all I care, murderer can claim rn and I will still not vote them.
your 50/50 claim is based on the flawed logic that the mm cannot die
but the mastermind has never been explicitly unkillable and forcing the rand to come out wrong is poor hosting
Is it really much smaller?
If MM is really alive, then getting murderer has simlar if not lower chance than getting a MM.
Mostly becouse MM will be cooperating with them to just win right now.
this is still all ifs
what if the mastermind isn’t alive
but
you keep saying ‘if this’ then the chances are the same
that’s not how probability works
if the probability of winning the lottery is a one in a million, you can’t just say oh it’s actually 1/500000 because yes
Which is still 50/50 chance.
that’s a 50/50 chance
then guessing the mm is a like a 1/4 chance since apprentice murdered
whereas guessing the blackened is just a 1/2 chance?
intensify was: poisoned
amelia and arete were stabbed iirc
gghana committed fucking suicide
pkr was brutalized nearly beyond recognition
oh yeah context on that
apprentice murdered someone in an earlier chapter but since someone else killed too they were the blackened instead of him
It’s still 1/4 unfortunetly.
MM being alive means that murderer could get alibi.
the chances of that happening are still much smaller than it not happening and us correctly guessing the blackened
also wazza was such an easy pocket and app had the clear chance to kill me
that’s two pocketed players and would basically be an instant win
why would app kill wazza