Harry Potter FM - COMPLETE - DEATH EATERS WIN

Why are you pre-flipping?

I GTG for now.
Want to say this before I go.

DON’T ALLOW ANYONE TO PRESWAY YOUR READS/VOTES. YOUR TR COULD BE SCUM. FOLLOW WHAT YOU BELIEVE IN. FIGURE OUT YOUR CHOICE BY YOUR OWN MEANS.

What is presway

Centuries goes by conroy in other places so I use the 2 interchangably

I can’t tell if it’s real or fake at the moment. He could also be outright joking with the vote.

I don’t see too much of a deviation from his town game, but I don’t think he’s that meta-readable and I don’t think too much can actually be gained from that microread

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probably fancy word for sheep

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joke

this feels like the condensing its-defiently-you-and-your-read-is-bad marshal from JoAT9 but i also read you as wolf for the same reason in wym

post note: he doesnt sr cent

i really need to ditch meta dont I

cash money

pick one

i feel a bit like how i did in joat9
i dont really know why

im going to leave thread for a bit
when i come back im going to try to avoid making big posts

I like this opener. Feels quite genuine if this player has rolled scum in past games. Townlean for this. They are also generally quite relaxed in the thread like shown here

They also actually do something early, which I like.

This also feels genuine. I don’t have much to say about their takes, but it’d be pretty ballsy for them to go with this angle early on if they don’t know the general power level of the setup, so this slot is also a townlean.

This I think is however not the right way to approach scumreads at the moment. Constructing teams when not everyone has posted or constructing teams period without any scum flips. Find individual scum first and teams later.

ok so

ive been trying to actually explain my read for 5 minutes and i just cant so ill just give u this

“lol i thought that not interacting in this situation was townie”

because the thread skipped rvs entirely and it didnt seem town motivated to me

and basically my read on pk was that he was scum

that’s it

thats not a big wolfread and its mostly a big gap between “fos on someone” and “wolfread on someone” that you’re immediatly bridging

I didnt think it was her getting involved because to me that’s literally the opposite?

i think thats like

you trending up

a me scumread is something really easy to chase right now and if you wanted to you could actually just push that with seth/pk as actual bandwagonners but

ok so i think i found you

that seems realyl crazy / early to say

but i think this part is just really townie and i think we should start over i know you dont scumread me but i also think one of the keys to winning this game if you’re town is you finding me as town in order to have a better management of poe / towncore?

so yeah basically i think i can actually

i still hate your past posts but ive seen you post in that last game and there were so many posts i hated despite you being town that i think you’re town rn? idk the past 2 posts are still awful in my eyes but thread read leads me to think you’re town bc scum you would take advantage of the situation?
its all really messy in my head actually

townlean on you that’s what im going to put out but i think you’re townier than that

so yeah whatever ill be back in a while maybe idk and then ill try and be townie not scummy whatever

Can you tell me the specific reason you have for postcapping yourself?

this feels really lamist regardless of not being serious

@ridin_with_biden

I’ll bounce this back to you, do you have thoughts about the thread and why did you vote Marshal?

I mean i’m okay with giving you a “fresh start”

I just think your first few reads / posts weren’t really productive and it can obviously improve when there are more posts and you can dive in to deeper reasons.

I have a problem where I post too much and it causes my reads to be strongarmed / other people’s thoughts to be lost in-thread so I am attempting to reduce that.

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merc mindmelded with them on cent V

PKR him TLing light gives him slight V

surge V because obv

PK W explained above

RVS

I read Surge as town for the following reasons:

Surge has a lot of volume that is not fluffposting. It looks good because it speaks effort.
There is a pattern on how he asks if people are wolfy. He follows those to an extreme. It looks like reaction testing with a purpose. He knows the results he wants and is not faking content.

Summary

I really like his progression on Eli, it feels natural given the new information available on the thread, and I like how he reads TBE with effort. He early on says that TBE has a null first post and reiterates it later on his wallpost read.

Surge is, right now, my strongest town read. He pushes for the game, he gets everyone involved, he brings new content in, he is nonperformative (no one noticed his sequence of reaction tests) and none of his reads feel like TMI.

@Marshal @Apprentice @Centuries @TheBlueElixir @Italy Any of you disagree with me?

I don’t really think this is worth anything AI, but you do you.

I had the opposite take, which is interesting. I don’t really know what this post means

but I don’t think that scum would do something that is so blatantly LAMIST as their opener of anything. That is typically more crafted. I will see how they continue to post however.

I’m just kinda spitting out thoughts as I read through thread so this post is probably gonna be a lot of random stuff:

Surge lock V never reconsider thanks

TBE feels uncomfortable in thread early

Eli also strong V, probably just always town

Merc weird

kind of mindelded with TBE on the timing of Merc vote

Italy posted

Merc commits to the idgaf nothing important has happened attitude which is decent

what? pls no

Mercs posts are continually improving

PKR’s opener feels pretty bland (disregarding the whole Lights is the host thing)

ok Eli lock V never rescindo

Merc decides to townlean Cent for voting them which I don’t like.

Eh, their follow up explanation for vote is good enough though so w/e

I agree a lot w/ Foley’s initial reads and how they’re approaching thread

ok that was kind of a random wall I’ll try to form coherent thoughts now that I’m caught up

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Middle of the road for things with Surge.

I mean I respect the effort and reasoning in the post but surge is someone who has an incredibly obvious meta and so he can legitimately be read by “is he pushing people in an annoying way without listening to reason and doing more stupid things”.

I think so far he’s likely town but this read can be strengthened as the day goes on.


Light town on merc so far becuase her effort matches up with what she said here

I think this post itself is not disingenuous seeing as what happened in WWFM but the strong start formulating reads and pinging people for discussion and generally being aggressive is a fairly decent look so far because it comes off as someone trying to play a good game without being overly performative about that fact.