NUF FM 2 - Spec Chat

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#301

I don’t want to make too much of a mess out of the OP…
I guess 10 is a good number to stop.

1 Like
#302

ngl Marl i flip flopped on u like endlessly but ur eod ngl kinda sold me on town especially the legacy

#303

it should be illegal for people to call me easy to read when they get me wrong

#304

@Zone_Q11 1 point on windward and gorta being town then
1 point on cloned being scum
1 point on vig shooting intensify
1 point on intensify being scum

1 Like
#305

I didn’t read 90 percent of the game

#306

the only player I had an explicit read on is Gorta

1 Like
#307

1 point on vig not shooting intensify @Zone_Q11
the likelyhood of a vig shooting exactly intensify is
ridiculously low
And even if I somehow manage to lose this bet I could still win the bet against Cream if Intensify flips scum
This is a win/win for me in almost all cases really

#308

Are you relying on both Wind and gorta being town?
IF so, I’ll take this bet up and dissent this.
But if you’re doing it individually where only one has to be town then I’m not betting against that

#309

This also refunds my point if there isn’t a vig at all.
Taking up this bet is… really beneficial to me.

#310

yes both are town

#311

I’m willing to bet against Marluxion on both gorta AND Windward being town
I recognise I am statistically likely to lose this but I like gambling
:man_shrugging:

#312

its zone, there’s a vig
and i believe in my death’s impact

#313

I think this is the best I can make it for the time being.

2 Likes
#314

(These are joint btw
Both Wind and gorta have to be town for Marluxion to win the bet)

#315

I retract this statement. Now that I have a bet limit, I will simply null any bets where the premise is false, once we know for certain that the premise is false.

1 Like
#316

That would be a chainbet… which is very troublesome and/or full of demerits when X is True but Y is False… @Marluxion, are you sure about this?

1 Like
#317

alr

these are my last bets before I go into poverty
I want at least one resolved before I consider betting again
ping me when one of mine resolves

#318

Yep. That’s the only reason I’m taking it.
I think Marluxion would have an accurate read on gorta; but maybe a not-so accurate read on Wind.
But the chances of him getting both are slim.
I don’t doubt I’d almost always get the bad side of the bets if they were single tho.
But a chain bet? Could probably go either way. Still leans in favor of Marluxion tho probably

#319

@Zone_Q11 can you change my bet of clonedcheese as neutral → clonedcheese as town

The neutral thing was a joke.

#320

tbf I don’t think neuts exist here
so your bet would be cancelled even if he denies that change