Ritual Mafia 2 - Heretics and The Elementalist Win!

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#1521

Nah, we’re sac’ing blue here.

Tonight FK should heal Blizer, Blizer should Penitence Marg, and Marg should watch FK. Marg and Bliz cannot die tonight while if FK dies then we’ll know his killer, and I’ll alert.

1 Like
#1522

IMO, I’ll just WIFOM it.

#1523

We should sacrifice blue here and IMO he should check HTM. If HTM is town, then he can also occupy a Heretic tomorrow.

#1524

That works as well.

#1525

Do that gamesolve tree thingy for a Bluest0rm sac and Maxi’s reveal

#1526

Once again, changing Sac vote.

#1527

Ngl I actually feel bad for scum here

#1528

I don’t. You gotta work for your win, and scum have let the town run them over.

#1529

They got totally destroyed by the blood mage.

#1530

Solic put up a good fight yesterday. Unfortunate really.

#1531

Sacing Blue is actually a good idea ngl

#1532

RN:

6C-1T-2H, Lynchpool of 4 players, 2 heretics.

After the sacrifice and if HTM is NS.

5C-1T-2H, Lynchpool of 3 players, 2 heretics.

If we mislynch for the night.

4C-1T-2H, Lynchpool of 2 players, 2 heretics

HTM here also has a 50/50 chance of finding the WL. If he does, win.

For us to lose here we’d have to have HTM as NS, mislynch when 2 out of the 3 of the potential lynchpool are Heretics, especially if neither HTM nor Marg are traitors, and then they need to get lucky so HTM won’t find the WL. It’s possible to lose here, but extremely unlikely. For example, assume that HTM is Conjurer and here’s the math.

33% chance for a ML and 50% chance that HTM does not occupy the WL, so this makes it a 16% chance for them winning providing HTM is a Conjurer.

#1533

Why do I feel like that is scumthing scum would say :thinking:

#1534

Is that the best case scenario for us to do?

#1535

Wouldn’t have a clue

#1536

Eh, Marcus. You and Maxi can technically concede if you wish. Your tone regarding my game-solving post is a bit obvious here and Maxi’s kind of been openwolfing since d1.

3 Likes
#1537

I will happily vote Maxi after todays sacrifice. Do we sac Blue or FK?

#1538

Blue imo.

#1539

Who do you think can be on maxes scum team?

#1540

I can give you my logs from last night, that’ll clear up my thoughts on my scumteam tinfoils.