Rwby fm - wolves win! at least it wasnt a ******* scumstomp

Arctic, how do you feel about your biggest scumread being incorrect?

vaguely

You think I was reading enough to know what was going on wagons wise Vul?

You overestimate me

i think marshal arete and vulgard are all wolfy today but i told misto iā€™d sheep her on bliz and i have no idea whatā€™s going on this game any more so

perfect timing

I did a Blizer ISO of my own overnight. Iā€™d like you to read it because idk if weā€™re on the same page.

did you post it i cant read

Blizer analysis

Blizerā€™s progression:

ā€œPKR has not been giving a damn.ā€ - directed at PKR himself.

ā€œHippo towny.ā€

ā€œMarshal, re-eval Eli, Eliā€™s been doing nothing.ā€ - within the realm of distancing tbh.

ā€œPKRā€™s been antitown, but town.ā€ - interesting, somewhat contrarian take to come in with.

ā€œPKR is TWTBAW.ā€ - sure.

ā€œPKR is town.ā€ - sure.

ā€œI canā€™t save you, PKR, but youā€™re town.ā€ - ā€¦sure? The direct appeal to PKR makes me suspicious because it looks like pocketing. It looks like Blizerā€™s trying to paint himself like the savior of the LHF villager here.

ā€œMarshal could be W/W with Eli, protecting Eli.ā€ - interesting, wish he expanded on that.

ā€œI kinda want Eli dead.ā€ - noting this for later.

ā€œPKR is town, but he could be wolf.ā€ - ā€¦what. You spend like 50 posts trying to defend him, yet you still say this. Are you going to call him town, or are you still leaving yourself open to misyeeting him later? Because this looks like a wolf not being that willing to clear a villager after all. V!Blizer who does think PKRā€™s town and the village is rushing into a misyeet would call PKR hard town here. There is no need for doubt when Blizerā€™s written like 50 posts detailing why PKR is antitown but V.

ā€œVul vs Marshal V/W, leaning Marshal W.ā€ - interesting, but heā€™s not pushing Marshal despite this.

ā€œlol has been quiet, hmm.ā€ - step 1 of lol progression, notice the next steps.

ā€œI want Eli yeeted, but Marshal is defending the slot, so yeah.ā€ - this is wack. The way heā€™d been talking about Eli suggests he wants Eli dead. Heā€™d outright said heā€™d wanted Eli dead. And heā€™d also suggested Marshal W/W, even W/W with Eli, several times. From his POV, Marshal and Eli could both be wolves. Then why is Marshalā€™s shield on Eli preventing Blizer from pushing on Eli? Itā€™s a wolfā€™s shield on another wolf, you ignore that if you think they are W/W.

You could interpret this two ways. Either Blizer doesnā€™t want to push on Eli because Eli is V and he doesnā€™t want to look bad. Or he doesnā€™t want to push on Eli because Eliā€™s his partner. Either way, he doesnā€™t want to push on Eli for one reason or another. Despite saying he would like to, mind you. For someone who thinks the town is wrong on PKR, he sure doesnā€™t try very hard to push an alternative.

ā€œlol has wack early reads.ā€ - step 2 of lol progression.

ā€œI agree Hippo likely town.ā€ - yeah, okay.

ā€œlol weird slot.ā€ - step 3 of lol progression.

ā€œlol goes into PoE, because progression bad.ā€ - he calls lolā€™s reads bad and thatā€™s why lolā€™s PoE. ā€¦What? This looks like an addition to the PoE made for no reason at all. Itā€™s like Blizer read his ISO, thought lol was a viable push and shelved him for ā€œuseā€ now or later. This doesnā€™t look like a genuine evaluation of lolā€™s alignment. Blizerā€™s adding lol to his push pool for later use. He doesnā€™t push lol right away, neither does he try to solve lol with deeper analysis. All he does is read lolā€™s macro play, notice how lolā€™s reads and progression havenā€™t been great, then slot into PoE. Iā€™m not expecting Blizer to provide constant big brain reads, but this looks so low-effort. For someone claiming to be redirecting the townā€™s course from a misyeetā€¦ (PKR townread) He doesnā€™t even try to case his actual wolfreads. Lol is yet another wolfread he puts out there, then doesnā€™t push and shelves for later.

ā€œlol/Marshal/Eli are wolves.ā€ - this is a big post. He claims lol/Marshal/Eli is the team. Yet he does not push Marshal forā€¦ no reason given, does not push Eli because Marshalā€™s defending him, and calls lol ā€œweird and PoEā€ rather than a wolf. He keeps his options open because he wants to have flexibility. He likely slotted a wolf in there as well.

ā€œYeet in Marshal/lol.ā€ - removes Eli who had a super wolfy d3. Blizer even said this earlier. I donā€™t know why he is backing off here, itā€™s not like Eli posted anything to change his mind. There is no way Eliā€™s posting could have made Blizer remove Eli from PoE, I do not believe it. Makes their partner equity rise.

ā€œ[insert AtE over being wagoned.]ā€

ā€œlol is a wolf, PKR is towny.ā€ The lol flip does not seem justified to me. I donā€™t see anything in the thread that would make him want to swap the push target. If he were doing this for self-pres, then sure, I could buy it. Him preferring to self-pres onto lol over PKR makes sense with him townreading PKR. But thatā€™s not the reasoning he provides. He outright says lol is a wolf because lol voted him with no progression. This looks more like a wolf trying to survive rather than a villager changing his read. ā€œThen why would he not vote PKR?ā€ It would make him look bad. Heā€™d spent the entire day defending PKR, him voting PKR there would make him look terrible. Everybody would notice the sudden flip, and his likelihood of dying would increase.

I did now.

Also

/vote Marshal

Alsox2

@Arete the reason I didnā€™t push marshal was cuz I was MIA all day and had like 7 min to push on marshal of all people

Even I know thatā€™s damn near pointless

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okay so

what would you expect him to say as a villager in that situation

Iā€™m awake, anything happen?

either nothing or talking about why he thought people thought crich was wolfy and how they can use his flip to progress the game

question

why did you post this now rather than at SoD

Because I wanted to see what other people would post first.

/vote blizer @Aelin

Whatā€™s the tldr case on Bliz btw

did people actually think CRich was wolfy

my impression as an outsider to the thread was that people thought Chloe was wolfy and people thought CRichā€™s early posting was wolfy but that when he started talking about how playing with you made him suicidal it turned into ā€˜ok heā€™s a villager but kill him anywayā€™

is that not correct

was there anything specific you were looking for

I was a mix of he was kinda wolfy and also I just didnā€™t wanna play with him so regardless it can die

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