Well I know that lmao
I mean like, my opening post? Because that weird to vote on that on D2 
Possessed’s starting posts feel like he’s desperately trying to blend in, from a meme at the start to his Derps push, which was probably written with the intention to go against the consensus. I don’t think villagers ever think “hmm, I need to push someone other people aren’t pushing.” You just push your wolfreads, and given how overexplainy the push is, I think there’s an element of performativeness there. Possessed wanted people to see that he’s pushing someone, which doesn’t feel like a villagery mindset. I don’t think you care that much about people potentially sheeping you as a villager.
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will be gone for 2 minutes looking for double summon because that’s a very nice card to have
Yeah u right. I actually usually hate sheepers on me because they are typically pocketing scum
Possessed liking my push on him has strong WIFOM energies and I don’t trust it, frankly.
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Arrange for me or you to get evo point.
Another 1-point invest is not gonna help much, but 2-point prot or kill can change a bit.
Meanwhile I’m gonna rekt Italy
I’m gonna actually find the time to do my wagon.analysis like I planned to yesterday when I got some bad news. Work should be slow today
i think italy is town but i don’t agree with this thought process
in scum!italy town!marshal worlds he basically got a fuckton of free towncred and town protectives off of town
in scum!italy scum!marshal worlds i think this play is a risky one but not inherently -EV
while i obviously don’t think his reads are amazing since, well, he’s been mostly tunneled on me, i’m actually quite confident solics town because his push on me doesn’t feel scum motivated
this read right here, while i think it’s not great (stop trying to metaread me lol), i don’t think comes from scum? maybe im giving arete the benefit of the doubt here but given arete is willing to scumread squid who is universally more townread than me i don’t think arete is “only” nulling me to save face
maybe arete is trying to pocket me but i’m tentatively opening up to the possibility that my earlygame read on arete was wrong
i already used both of my votes
the first was on italy and the second will remain undisclosed, but it is not on myself
i don’t think i’ll get the second point
If people start clearing Arete for the wallpost they made, this is a wallpost=locktown moment.
EoD vote. 6 on Marshal, 6 on Amelia. Vulgard parked on N.1, Luxy parked on me. With Luxy flipping Town, Vulgard off-wagon and I believe 2 non-voters (N.1, Icibalus)…scum wagoned on Amelia. Judging by the tie vote, this could also mean at least 1 scum has been off-wagon otherwise they would have swung the vote to one side. It also reinforces the idea that Marshal is a townie as well.
Off Wagon Voters NOT Conf. Town: Vulgard/Luxy (Conf. Town)/ N.1/Icibalus
I believe theres a great chance of scum being in this pile. Icibalus pushing a townie as scum D1 based on 2-3 posts is going to obviously look bad if they are scum when the townie flips, and I feel that play would be entirely too incriminating. Unless the plan was to just push me and say, “Oops! Sorry guys I guess I was wrong!”, then I can’t see it. The Luxy kill might clear Ici on this too, as they mindmelded each other and its always better to keep those types alive.
N.1 has scum equity due to inactivity upon push, and I did look favorably into the players on that wagon. I’m super curious as to why this wagon broke down so fast and the chief engineer (Solic) gave up on pushing it.
Vulgard is an interesting case because I generally get town vibes from their posts, but I think I’ve townread Vulgard every game recently. They just always have this villagery outlook on the game, so I classify Vulgard as a Wildcard in this game. If they are wolf, the plan is to deepwolf.
I want to do a movement analysis later because there’s no doubt scum on Amelia’s wagon. Right now, if I had to rank scum equity on off-wagon votes, its going:
N.1 > Vulgard > Icibalus