although I love 2 am me getting a wild ass number
(I realize now that number would probably be the chance of one person rolling psycho trooper twice in a row now which isn’t helpful now)
although I love 2 am me getting a wild ass number
(I realize now that number would probably be the chance of one person rolling psycho trooper twice in a row now which isn’t helpful now)
I mean, main issue was not removing people as you figured it out, but using 145/146 * 144/146 as a base, basiclly changing 1.365% into 2.045% as a base chance for your calculations.
And 2.045% is basiccly 1.5 times 1.365%, so it did heavilly impact the result.
Hence my base result was 8.5%, instead of yours 12.5%
(even before counting all proven-to-exist roles)
Oh yeah you’re right, I didn’t even notice that. Thanks a lot
So it’s a 8.5% chance osie is town…?
No less than that I think
Because that doesn’t do the rest of the math and if you do the rest of the math (counting for dead people and people who’s claims have been confirmed) it comes around to something like 5.5% and that’s assuming you even put people like Eevee as a possibility for being a psychotrooper
I could redo the math to actually make 100% sure this is correct but I can’t be arsed
basically osie probably not town because lolmech
Jeez
When I get home I’ll link you a game where I am town and osie is scum, to showcase this is exactly how he plays as scum when I catch him.
Actually here, read this game.
Be warned though, the game involves leniency on toxicity.
The idea of a toxic fm game sounds so funny can someone host a fm where we just insult eachother
wdym we’re already playing one
the mods have yelled at us like 3 times now for being T O X I C F O R U M E R S
i’ve noticed that a lot of toxicity arises due to people using meta for reads
well im toxic because nobody accepts how god tier my reads are
why haven’t the scum conceded town god gamerghana is in this game
LITERALLY NEVER BEEN WRONG SHEEP MY READS or LOOSER
There was a game where I fake claimed weak doctor as mafia, ill have to find it.
I have another game where I was mafia with my brother which we won together ill grab tbag too after work that is.