Is that even how you use that term?
Player list + Role count
So the possibilities here are:
3 scum, 1 NK, 3 neuts, and 8 town
4 scum, 3 neuts, 8 town
3 scum, 1 NK, 2 neuts, 9 town
4 scum, 2 neuts, 9 town
Iāll assume Arete and Luxy are honest neutral claims becasue Luxy seems genuine and I donāt think I have the brainpower to do math here, I still feel pretty awful
If we do a ML here:
3/4 scum, 0/1 NK 3 neuts, 7 town = 7 town, 7 non town
If Wazza is real and kills a scum tonight after a ML
2/3 scum, 0/1 NK, 3 neuts, 7 town = 7 town, 6 non town
Iāll assume 2 night deaths happens again, though. And I doubt the neutrals will be targetted here, which meansā¦
2/3 scum, 0/1 NK, 3 neuts, 5 town = 5 town, 6 non town = town are -1 and need neutral votes
But if a potential NK killed a scum instead of town
1 scum, 1 NK, 3 neuts, 6 town = 6 town, 5 non town = town have +1 majority
All in all, this is not looking great, even if a ML today can expose 2 scum it may be too late for the townā¦ that may be too little too late. Unless a NK exists and kills a scum tonight, BD have pretty good odds of losing majority vote without neutral support.
This is all disregarding potential conversion, as well. If the scum can kill and convert in the same night (Unseen?) thenā¦ F for town lmao.
Unfortunately with only 1 night of night deaths, we canāt really figure out what faction weāre againstā¦ or if an NK even existsā¦
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If NK exists, they kill scum tonight 100% because they have to. Enough town have died already.
So weāre 4 4 on insanity / vulgard right now. We need b one more vote to assure that insanity is the one that is lynched
Forgot to write about a potential NL, but the same still applies.
Right now BD are kind of betting on Wazza being real or getting a good lynch today
Probably, thatās why I added that last part. Scum need to die if a potential NK wants to win
Havenāt decided where my votes going yet.
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Does this mean me getting lynched relies on Jakeās unvote?
why do I have to be at the mercy of Jake.
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Iām all for neutrals as much as the next guy but insanity is the ideal Lynch regardless of whether Luxy wins
If Luxy loses, he has no reason to side with us. In spite, he might side with scum
Just going to do a Priestess here.
@JakeTheWolfie Hey, I know youāre town. We all do. Mind unvoting and revoting Insanity real quick so Luxy can achieve his wincon when we lynch Insanity? Then heās going to vote with us and share his checks, because his wincon will be achieved.
Your unvote and revote on Insanity always helps town.