SFoL 64 - Anonymous FoL - Day 6 - The Possessor, Inquisitor, and Fool are victorious!

[Ivo_Wake]

I’m that tired rn my brain isn’t working

/Vote peter

[Ivo_Wake]

BRUHAAUSKS

/Vote Andy

[Edmond_Bailey]

/vote Andy
isabel if you see this soon, unvote Peter
lmao sleep soon ivo i know that feeling

[Ivo_Wake]

Had to double check I just submitted jail on the right person LOL.

Peters jailed so its good

[Isabel_Savage]

Sure I’ll /unvote
Time to /vote Andy

[Edmond_Bailey]

alright sounds good then lol
i should be on for EoD? ping me if the plan changes will likely sleep soon myself

[Edmond_Bailey]

does it count as like pocketing if the person doing it is the Prince

[katze]

votecount

Vote target	Voted by	Votes
Mary_Savill	Andy_Bernard	1/7
Andy_Bernard	Alice_Alard, Ivo_Wake, Edmond_Bailey, Isabel_Savage	4/7
Not Voting	Peter_Carew, Sarah_Lacey, Jane_Drayton, Geoffrey_Bailey, Mary_Savill, Emma_Maison, Thomas_The_Second	7

lmk if error happen or something

[Emma_Maison]

@Mary_Savill

@Emma_Maison

Conclusion: While there is nothing that definitely disproves partner equity between Mary and Helen, there is one specific post that Mary would be slightly unlikely to write as Helen’s partner, in my opinion. For that reason, Mary is less likely than average to be Helen’s partner.

how would I find Andy as K/O if I am scum.

@Emma_Maison

I’m disregarding mechanics in these analyses.

that’s not how analysis’ work.

I was disregarding mechanics while writing that. I had made that clear before I started.

@katze

They left no logs.

The blue flip is disappointing.

@Isabel_Savage

I was hoping Gilbert was scum there.
The fact that they weren’t partnered with Helen by lack of associations should have been a warning sign then.
Still at least we confirm Jane was starting Noble.

I’ll admit, I probably should’ve pushed the idea that Gilbert could be not-groupscum much harder. I wasn’t yet certain about my interaction analyses.

But Thomas is right about one thing – discussion would keep coming back to Gilbert. In a way, lynching him unfroze the thread.

@Peter_Carew

Geoffrey probs not starting gscum, could easily see them being nk tho

This is oddly specific.
Why? It’s not like you should have mechanical information about this as a Noble claim who bountied both nights.

@Peter_Carew

Mary probs scum ngl

check is probabaly legit tho

Again, why? Because the dead good King was scumreading her?

@Peter_Carew

Jane is the convert

they bountied Helen N1 but didn’t out it because lolconvert

Mary is CL

Andy is NK

…I should probably give up on asking this question all the time, but why… any of this? You had literally just called someone else the NK, too.

@Peter_Carew

This makes things way easier

Exe Mary jail Andy

problem solved and we dont have to worry about converts anymore

side note do we know how Helen died

I have no idea if this is antispew or genuine. This is so… random.

@Alice_Alard

I just realized the beginning of Emma’s post sounds like the opening line of a FM soap opera.

I may be a little too verbose.

I’m perfectly fine with lynching Andy today, I think he’s never BD.

I still think the King might be evil. I think Alice, Mary, Edmond are still town. Ivo is obviously town, and Isabel looks really good in light of the Helen flip, so I don’t think it’s Isabel, either.

It’s possible one of Alice/Mary/Edmond have been converted by now, especially since a team with Helen on it (I assume Helen is starting Cult – she didn’t strike me as a good player to convert) would love to have a partner in the towncore. That said, I think Alice is still very obviously town, so it’s not her. Mary/Edmond is what I’m looking at.

Other than that, I think remaining mafia are in Peter/Sarah/Geoffrey. This makes the most sense to me based on interactions.

I’m perfectly fine with killing Andy today, obviously.

I’d like to point out that Sarah once again hasn’t done anything today while we were debating who to lynch and wagoning likely mafia.

[Emma_Maison]

I believe I have lost Thomas somewhere in that post.
I think he isn’t a “wolf” simply because of his interactions with Helen, as well as the fact he was very unlikely to be converted on night 1 based on how Thomas 1 had been playing. I was correct to call Gilbert unaligned with Helen, so I have more confidence in my interaction analyses now.

@Alice_Alard I don’t think I caught this… what exactly changed for you to agree with my analysis now? Gilbert’s flip?

[Emma_Maison]

…Using “wolf” feels strange. It’s like I’m calling someone an animal. …Technically, that is exactly what I’m doing.

@Emma_Maison

Other than that, I think remaining mafia are in Peter/Sarah/Geoffrey. This makes the most sense to me based on interactions.

And apparently, Geoffrey seems mechanically clear, so that helps narrow things down.

If they don’t flip mafia, I will re-evaluate everyone from the ground up. I refuse to be pocketed.

[Emma_Maison]

I’m getting the impression Edmond’s activity has decreased as the game went on, which could be attributed to mafia fatigue.

Mary has felt relatively similar, but I haven’t done a deep dive to confirm that. I might do that in a moment. I don’t think this is a terrible moment to start convert hunting, since we have a mafia flip to work with.

I’m not voting Andy yet, but I’ll vote there before EoD.

[Emma_Maison]

@Emma_Maison

I still think the King might be evil.

@Emma_Maison

It’s possible one of Alice/Mary/Edmond have been converted by now

These two don’t really go together. It’s one or the other, since there can only be one convert alive right now, unless it was Helen for some reason.

The exception is if the starting CL in Jane went for King, which I find somewhat unlikely.

[Emma_Maison]

@Emma_Maison

I’m getting the impression Edmond’s activity has decreased as the game went on, which could be attributed to mafia fatigue.

He also hasn’t really written many very towny posts lately, unlike Alice. I noticed towny posts from Edmond very early, which is why I added him to my towncore, but I’m considering removing him from it now.

I’ll have to check again.

[Emma_Maison]

My towncore is getting dangerously small, though. I might be getting a little paranoid.

[Geoffrey_Bailey]

@Ivo_Wake

Meh just exe peter here and I jail andy pretty simple.

I’m not going to play passive so sorry if I kill bd here we lose if we don’t play strongly.

You do what you think is best. I trust your judgement here and when you are ready for me to out my role just say the word

@Peter_Carew

Im like 80% sure cult can bounty tho?

They can, which is why we don’t clear noble claims so easily

@Peter_Carew

Geoffrey probs not starting gscum, could easily see them being nk tho

How can I not be gscum and why am I easily the NK in your world? I want you to explain your reasoning because from my position it just looks like you are likely to flip gscum here based on your posts today. From what I can tell your reads are just pulled out of thin air and it looks like you have TMI.

[Geoffrey_Bailey]

I know I am probably late to the party, but I don’t think there is much spew in Helen’s ISO. I should probably take a look at how people treated Helen, but right now I am tired and lazy

[Emma_Maison]

@Emma_Maison

Look very good based on interactions with Helen:

Isabel
Gilbert

Unlikely to be with Helen:

Alice
Thomas

Has some posts which are unlikely to come from Helen’s partner:

Mary

I personally don’t think they are Helen’s partner:

Edmond

Could be Helen’s partners:

Andy
Peter
Sarah
Geoffrey
Jane (Caveat: I considered Helen’s end of the interactions good for Jane, but Jane’s end of the interactions looks bad for Jane, which is a little strange.)

I think I should move Edmond down a tier.
Isabel/Alice/Thomas/and maybe Mary are people I still trust as of right now, discounting the possibility of n2 conversion. I’ve been watching their posts today, and they have seemed relatively similar to me in general.

Andy and Peter are already dying, so that will resolve itself.

[Emma_Maison]

@Geoffrey_Bailey

I know I am probably late to the party, but I don’t think there is much spew in Helen’s ISO. I should probably take a look at how people treated Helen, but right now I am tired and lazy

I’ve gone through Helen’s interactions back and forth with every player in the game. There is definitely plenty of spew.

[Emma_Maison]

I wouldn’t really mind a second opinion from someone who isn’t Alice, since we’ve been on the same wavelength for the majority of this game and I don’t really doubt her.

Depending on what people think about my analysis, I might be able to get more and better reads.