[SFoL] SFoL 53: Looming Threat - Completed

information from alice

and what does that even mean?

you know what I mean

It’s a game that contains an Arete, therefore it’s time for a wallpost of reads just under the wire.
Town
Hja - locktown. Easy meta-read is easy.

Luxy - basically locktown at this point after contributions throughout the day.

Soul - Townread, he opened the game by drawing a ton of negative attention to himself whereas scum!Soul basically just tries to go under the radar in the early game.

Geyde - townread, his thought process and level of contribution seem towny and he’s made a couple of specific posts that I don’t think he would make as scum (yes, I have reasons not to want to highlight which posts they are). Currently thinking that a couple of specific things that could happen overnight and at SoD2 tomorrow could fairly conclusively determine his alignment but for obvious reasons I’m not going to say what they are.

Sulit - townlean, compared to the Paint game she’s far less hedgy/uncertain with her reads. See my earlier posts on her.

Shurian - Townlean, seems generally contributive and seems willing to explore various aspects of the game. Liking what I’ve seen of her progression so far.

Italy - townlean. His ā€˜I only care about the opinion of people with ~important~ classes’ attitude is dumb but it’s also townie, scum typically cares about how everyone views them rather than just one person. The immediate hard-claiming in response to mild pressure attitude is also one that normally comes from town even though claiming is anti-town in this set-up HINT HINT EVERYONE WHO KEEPS DOING IT.

Kyo - townlean. He’s acting very relaxed in the thread, in a way that’s hard to fake as scum, while also being contributive (i.e. not just fluffposting for no reason).

Derps - townlean. not doing the same tryharding he did in CoC but still being productive; inclined to think he’s town over that. I hate how this read basically punishes him the more effort he puts in but Such Is Life.

Centuries - can’t actually explain this one particularly well but I’m gutreading this as town.

Jake - townlean. Another person in the ā€˜I hate his meta but he’s unfortunately town’ bucket.

Marshal - Slight townlean. I hate how many of his posts are PR fishing and/or off-topic memes but I don’t think scum!Marshal would want to draw negative attention like that.

Maxwell - sliiiiight townlean, his early defensiveness was weird but his later contributions are more confident than I usually see from scum!Maxwell. Would like to hear more from him tomorrow as he’s been very quiet thus far.

Null
Cheeki, Squid, Frost.

Scum
Ozz - scumlean. None of his early analysis arrives at any actual conclusions, all of it is ā€˜I think such-and-such is interesting’ and hedging, or else conclusions that aren’t alignment-related. In his town games he’s been more aggressive and confident.

Tele - scumlean. Was townreading her early for her aggressiveness and confidence but on reflection I think she could fake that. She’s contradicted herself several times and her outlook on the game is extremely narrow, she’s more-or-less ignoring everyone but a couple specific players except when other people do things that are relevant to those players.

Magnus - scumlean. Scumreading Magnus for acting scummy is always a little questionable, since he’s scummy and anti-town as any alignment, but he has a distinct meta as town that he isn’t doing this game.

PKR - scumread, his opener was both Not Great and consistent with his scum meta. Initially thought bleeding obvtown Luxy and then claiming that he had done so was too obviously bad of a play for him to be scum here but apparently he’s done very nearly exactly that as scum before, so I’m not clearing him based on that.

Solic - scumread. He’s not really interacting with anyone in the thread and I’m pretty sure he slipped as scum and then tried to backpedal.

Jgoes - scumread, I explained this one earlier but basically he’s being super hedgy and underconfident on nearly all his posts that are reads, and many of his non-read posts have the feel of someone trying to look contributive, but they aren’t really contributing anything.

I’m confused/weird exceptions

Priestess - really confused about Priestess’s slot right now. I don’t think she’s ever W/W with Solic here so a Solic scum flip would basically clear her; if he turns out to be town she’s back in my PoE. She’s done a couple specific things that are in her scum meta (buddying up with townies in a way that creates associations that would make said townies look scummy if she flips W being the big one). Pretty much ignoring the scumclaiming and OMGUSing as those are NAI for her.

Wazza - Basically hasn’t existed in the thread, and literally forgot about one of the abilities of his class. Would prefer that we let him self-resolve via the bleed except that that doesn’t work with his claim; thanks to the DR changes he can actually semi-confirm in a couple nights by transferring to someone in the PoE, which even if scum has extra killpower would still require them to eliminate PoE, which is a net gain for us. Has landed in this category due to being slightly self-resolving.

–

Thinking that due to the number of people in my scumreads I’m wrong on at least a couple of them; Tele is the most likely here because I’m worried about bias and also pre-flips with Solic. Would personally prefer to resolve Solic’s spot with a bounty tomorrow. If he flips town I’d take another look at Priestess. Jgoes is also a safe lynch in my opinion as I’m nearly confident that he flips scum here.

I agree with almost all of this and its making me worried

have you considered the possibility that I’m town

Tele and PKR’s positions stick out like a sore thumb though

Remind me why you’re townreading PKR?

Because he’s the village idiot

But why village idiot and not scum-faking-VI?

Because he did this in LoTRFM as well

hey luxy, i just want to say that you might not be visited by me.

I… i don’t know how to say this.
Things will be cleared up tommorow.

its legit really important though

yeah, i realise this.

But i might not be able to make it happen.
.
I will explain tommorow.

as long as i am alive tommorow, everything will work out.
sso lets hope that I am

do your best then

trust me, that’s what ive been doing.

But just gonna say it.

I might not even exist. I don’t know.

wallpost = locktown

3 Likes

Everything will work out as long as i don’t die tonight.

General reminder to everyone to keep logs. You don’t strictly have to put a readlist in, though I checked and Alice isn’t using the character limit, but particularly depending on your class it can be really important to know what your night action was, and it takes thirty seconds to write Arete - [class] N1 - [action].

He did plays that were a bad idea in LotR FM but it doesn’t feel the same to me. I was thinking similarly to you until Geyde linked me the FE game (apparently in that one he dayvigged a consensus townread as scum, then claimed having done so).