[SFoL] SFoL 53: Looming Threat - Completed

Moving on.

WHY SOUL AND FROST ARE CLEAR

Soul’s interactions honestly look much better to me. It looks like both Wazza and Kyo are trying to pocket him. They (and Frost) are the only ones interacting with him when he comes into the thread, except Frost is not blatantly trying to get him to vote Marshal and pocket him.

This looks much better and more genuine to me from Frost. He’s not trying to pocket or convince here.

Frost and Soul might both be town based on that.

Soul is not convinced. Soul wants reasons not to vote Marshal. Soul is open to ideas and doesn’t allow himself to be pocketed.

He does vote Marshal in the end, for bad reasons (because Marshal called himself LHF), but his behavior on the wagon does not ping me as scummy. Wazza and Kyo look like groupscum. Soul doesn’t.

I think Soul is town based on all this, and Frost is also probably town. Wazza and Kyo both look even worse here.

This is LoTR all again

So right now where I’m at is:

PoE: Wazza, Magnus (despite being greenchecked by Shurian, I just don’t see much town motivation + that GT was just atrocious), Italy (accused by Blizer, basically in thunderdome with him + responses were awful), Solic -> Blizer (lockscum / weirdly mindwarped?? if Italy is town)

There might be 4 scum on this list. I’m 100% sure Wazza is one.

…I’m sure I’m misclearing someone. My eyes are on Centuries.

Squid looks good by association with Wazza. Not lock clear but out of PoE for now.

The rest have been generally town. Jake… Jake could theoretically be in the PoE. He’s on the edge of the PoE for me. That said, his early vote on Kyo looks really good, so I’m not too inclined to put him there yet. Still light green for me. Light green is ‘potential to become PoE but I’m not inclined yet.’

So basically it goes like this.

Wazza -> Italy -> Magnus (or Blizer if the track was fake) -> Magnus (if Blizer got lynched)/Solic -> Solic

Lynch priority. Between Italy/Solic/Blizer I had no idea who’s the scummiest but Blizer’s track on Italy feels legitimate to me. None of them ended up voting on either wagon at EoD. Solic unvoted not long before EoD; he was a Marshal voter. Neither Geyde -> Blizer nor Italy have ever voted on either wagon.

Voted Voters Votecount
KyoDaz Marshal, PKR, JaketheWolfie, Ozzkozz, Jgoesgaming, Maxwell, Vulgard, Shurian, Sulit, Frostwolf103, WazzaAzza, KyoDaz, Centuries 13
Marshal SirDerpsAlot, Cheeki, Soulshade55r, PoisonedSquid, Teleology 5
WazzaAzza H_Hja 1

Centuries hammering gives me mixed feelings. On the one hand, he hammered a scum. On the other hand, it was inevitable. He also believed Kyo over Marshal until there was no point anymore.

Spidey senses are tingling.

I honestly like the way this looks. Jake and Centuries could theoretically both be scum voting Kyo but I’m not quite convinced about that yet. I generally like what the wagons look like when I apply my reads to them.

Hja voting Wazza is genius. She’s super town.

I don’t believe Shurian’s greencheck on Magnus makes him town. I don’t think Shurian is lying by any means, I think Magnus might be a LW godfather or something. I don’t know, I just don’t see towniness there. I wouldn’t be unhappy if somebody killed him just so he can be removed from the PoE. It’s not like we have a shortage of BD to elect as King (unless the scumteam can still manipulate that with their Omega Actions).

Hja’s earlier read on Magnus that had to do with him being surprised about becoming King sounds like tinfoil but I actually believe it. I wrote a short blurb about it earlier in the thread.

Maybe I’m just confbiasing since I think Magnus has scum equity. Still though, it’s something I’ve been thinking about as well.

And now there’s the atrocious GT. Ughhhh.

It’s not fucking LoTR because I’m town here and I’m hopefully not incorrect about these reads.

Wazza lockscum.

https://media2.giphy.com/media/3oz8xOP8Gqt51V4qmQ/giphy.gif

/intent to vote Wazza because GT on Derps (no thanks to Magnus)

I am not there, sorry.

I honestly don’t like how Hja’s kneejerk reaction is to discredit me here but I’ll let it slide for now.
@Emilia sheep me or you’re not towncore anymore.

you can’t remove me from there

Who was GTd I forgot

No way they wouldn’t put that into logs

Who decided that?
You have no blackmail material on me, I just let you have your way for a while.

Derps because people wanted to lynch him immediately at SoD and I guess Magnus was trying to grant the wish of the people?

Yes way. Arete was on a plane during the time they spent in my link and didn’t come back quickly enough to edit their logs. I’m certain that’s what happened. They promised me they would put out more analysis in the link and when they came back from the plane, they didn’t have time for that anymore.

I have no reason to doubt a lock BD, no way they lied to me. Arete isn’t the type of player who would ever throw the game like that.

1 Like

@Alice Can you please do me a favor and bookmark each SoD or something (in the OP)? That should be useful for later analysis, especially in a thread of this size.
We have over 10k posts at SoD3.

I did

I’m just gonna wait for BD to get here so we can pardon on this stupid GT and lynch the scum.
Like Ozz said, I fully expect Wazza to go “ooooOOooOOOoo” but it doesn’t matter. The association with Kyo is way too strong. The only way he’s still BD is if he fell into every single pitfall while interacting with Kyo and that just doesn’t happen with different alignments.

execute order 66

Just kidding
pardon

I know my reads have been terrible but after re-evaluating I really believe I got something right this time around.

I’m 100% open to discussion and debate obviously, I don’t want to quicklynch.

Isn’t that what you thought last time

We’ll get there
Eventually

Who wants to bet Wazza’s gonna AtE?