[SFoL] SFoL 60 - Randomizer - Day 3 (14/18) - The Blue Dragon and Mercenary Win!

See my interest in maths has real life applications as well. Such as knowing the odds of lynching a town vs mafia D1 for starters.

So for those who scoff at maths. Well no even basic maths knowledge is useful in real life.

got life
will be back before eod hopefully

would really like anyone to consider my threadread

ok sure

but like
I donā€™t like logarithms and shit and I donā€™t feel like those have that much of a practical use in FM

Cya Geyde. Have a good day.

Yeah I donā€™t see logarithms being applied to FoL. Probability knowledge on the other hand is applicable to FoL.

In FoL 27? Yes Luxy was bled. He turned out to be GK.

i meant in SFoL53

Probability should never be used in FM

I wasnā€™t in that game. Though I can look it up.

Why not? It shows why even if you can lynch D1. The odds are youā€™re killing a town and youā€™re cutting the day short when it can be used for discussion time.

Because we arenā€™t randing who we lynch

3 Likes

If I read it correctly, Derps bled someone today. That would only confirm healers. Who would benefit from confirming healers? BD would.

Iā€™m healing marshal

Or the Latin phrase is Cui Bono. Translated it means ā€œWho benefits?ā€

Latin: also unappreciated yet it also has real life applications.

Iā€™m healing marshal no one else should be on him

1 Like

Sounds good.

My thoughts so far on everyone.

Town reads:
Vulgard (Socially from past games and same here).
Alice (Her frustration at being wolf read for her perceived TMI seems genuine)
Possessed (Gut feeling based on my last game with him)

Town lean;
Arete (Still wondering if he is powerwolfing EK)
SirDerpsAlot (healer claim)
Marshal (I hope Iā€™m right about him)
Geyde (Seems towny enough based on his posts so far)

Null read/Non-posters:
Jane (Hasnā€™t posted yet so she needs to be prodded)
DannyThyGamer (Ditto for him)
Ami (Acts the same whether town/mafia)
Wazza (He seems to be active for a short time, now heā€™s lurking. :thinking:)
Amelia (Reading her as town lean as she isnā€™t behaving like a wolf from Poisonous Mafia)
Sogman (Posted a few times and dropped off, hmmm)
Icibalus (I havenā€™t looked at their posts much, subject to change)
Italy (Even as town, he isnā€™t obvious town)

Scum read:
KyoDaz (I donā€™t trust anyone who claims inquisitor. Either he is real Inquisitor or some kind of non-town claiming Inquisitor)
ModeShifter (His tone seems off for a townie. Mind you Iā€™ve never played with him before)

My PoE is everyone in Null read/Non-posters and my scum reads.