Shortnight 2: Return of the POGGERS - Day 5 [6/15] - Mafoa win, Everybody (including chloe) loses

[WindwardAway]

Ok but your scumread isn’t even being wagoned, so why don’t you just want Sulit out anyway?

[WindwardAway]

Oh OK just saw this

[Centuries]

@WindwardAway

Ok but your scumread isn’t even being wagoned, so why don’t you just want Sulit out anyway?

I’d take Sulit dead over anyone but FK

FK clears me

not Sulit

and now it’s too late with Osie vote w!Sulit will just self hammer

so like yup?

[WindwardAway]

You don’t necessarily get chained with Sulit, though

[Centuries]

oh wind

come on

we both know that, if my 1600 post iso doesnt clear me

My associations with Sulit wont

[osieorb18]

You want to be cleared on activity? Meh.

[Aelin]

Alright, I’m heading to bed. Would someone do me a huge favor and ping me if any new cases on sulit or cent are made? Love you long time

[WindwardAway]

Post count doesn’t clear anyone

[Chloe]

Okay
Conroy

Ignore wind for a sec

Im genuinely trying go understand your thoughts here and find you if you’re a villager

Can you explain in detail how you came to the conclusion that sulit is only 65% wolf as the day progressed

I know you said its bc she can slank as town but i didnt see anywhere where you voiced that before

Im tryina understand

[Centuries]

I wish I could be cleared from content

but whatever

[Centuries]

@Chloe

Can you explain in detail how you came to the conclusion that sulit is only 65% wolf as the day progressed

I didn’t say only 65%

It’s a number I made up to show you how much more confident I am in my other read

[Chloe]

Okay i guess what im saying is that it looked like she substantially dropped for you
When like
You consistently scumread her for 3 ingame days

And i wanna know why that drop happened

[Centuries]

@Chloe

Okay i guess what im saying is that it looked like she substantially dropped for you

She didn’t drop (if what i understand is what u mean)

She had maybe that ISO that looked ok good

Obviously wolves aren’t going to be 100% scumposting

She had good posts later on

I still think my case stands

@Centuries

Here’s a scumcase of Sulit if you want

A: Indeciveness back during EOD2 when wagons are probably V/V
B: Not implicated during EOD2 when wagons are V/V, very isolated from thread
C: Her reads during EOD2 do not match her actions
D: Her defense of Chloe seems like TMI, to compare with a game where Sulit was town, she ignored a slot that was wagonned and was V, here she defends a slot who she has a probably weaker read upon.
E: She barely interacts with thread, most of the slot she barely interacts with, only Grace / Chloe / Marshal are slots she actually interacted with more than 15 times or so
F: Sulit has a meta of falling off the further on the game progresses as scum, while this isn’t a 100% correct way to read Sulit, she is closer to what I coulld define as her typical scumgame rather than her town game
G: To come back to interactions, Sulit would typically want to interact with me lots because V!Sulit with WIM and V!Me with WIM probably find each other quickly, I’m not the greatest at reading Sulit but we can find each other quite often
H: Chloe still hasn’t found Sulit as obvious town, I think V!Sulit could’ve been obvious town by now.
I: She hasn’t tried to make an effort to read me but has multiple times tried to invalidates TRs on me, for example Arete TR’d me for making a spreadsheet (dumb reason I guess) she immediatly tried to shut it down, she has also kept on insisting that I’ve made spreadsheets in the past (which as a whole even if I did is NAI) and everytime the spreadsheet is brought up she goes “but you’ve made one before” but when asked to point to a game where I’ve done that she just replies she’s lazy or something.

But I still am more confident on Voldemort tm

because well, he’s just way more scummy without relying on oog (not like angleshooting just in game content) stuff

[Chloe]

Okay so who the fuck are fk’s partners lmao

[Centuries]

Still could be Sulit, me thinking FK is scum doesn’t mean it’s not Sulit

Then the last one I don’t know, I’m still pretty weirdly confident in my nightpost

That’s my guess

[Centuries]

I haven’t been trying too hard to find associations because I’ve already done that once and I ended up wasting my time

[WindwardAway]

I don’t understand why you’re saying one thing but doing another
If you believe in your night post, why wouldn’t you just vote Sulit anyway?

[Centuries]

@Centuries

Sulit/Firekitten/Gorta - B-
Sulit/Firekitten/Windward - B
Sulit/Firekitten/Grace - C+
Sulit/Firekitten/Trochi - B
Sulit/Firekitten/Leafia - B-
Sulit/Firekitten/Blizer - B-
Sulit/Firekitten/Marshal - B+

I still probably stand by one of those

shrug

[Centuries]

wait it’s missing Light/Sulit/FK and Chloe/Sulit/FK

sadge

[Chloe]

Okay

So
You still think its likely sulit

So if we vote sulit out today and she flips wolf
Even though its suboptimal from your pov, we can afford to elim you tomorrow, since we have (idk, osie do the math) MLs until lylo, and we have to yeet through the PoE
Which
Likely includes you

I get that you think fk is liklier wolf but like
It looks like sulit is going down today over you anyways so shrug
Whatev
You very likely live today
And we get a woof