ToS Mafia - Day 8 - (3/19) [Town wins!]

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#4128

Yes, but if Cloned was a witch and eevee was SK, then Eevee claiming RBd to signal to with witch that they are some evil, then Cloned claiming the block would pretty much confirm each other to eachother

#4129

Youā€™d be saying theyā€™re collaborating claims without a scum chat. Theyā€™d slip that up and they havenā€™t.

#4130

Still, we donā€™t need to lynch Marshal for being a witch if we kill the rest of scum first, he will forfeit in default.

#4131

I just want an answer to this Arete v Marshal thing. Itā€™ll answer more things than just that too.

#4132

I mean, the SK has 1 ally, so it would be helpful to know who they are

#4133

Yep, he canā€™t be SK.

#4134

As long Cheese is not a witch

#4135

It would, but idk. Maybe Eevee was trying to give an alibi to a Mafia/Witch player? I guess that possible.

#4136

Then again we should ignore this witch thing and focus on scum instead, but I play along for the things that has yet to be said

#4137

But likeā€¦does ClonedCheese take that bait? Does he say, ā€œGee, thereā€™s probably no town RB, let me claim I was the one who blocked Eevee because I KNOW they are scum!ā€ as witch?

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#4138

It is a huge risk, I know.

#4139

A risk scum never takes. Especially if they get no reward if theyā€™re caught.

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#4140

They shouldnā€™t know unless the person that he redirected eevee into that person end up died ALONG mentioed at SoD who killed that person gives the witch the idea what scum killer he redirected.

#4141

The best they can do is that people are stupid enough not to notice it

#4142

Like that mafia nicknames consists more than 1 word and I joked about it. You think I am signaling the witch to go for Eevee?

#4143

So out of two people who are saying things against each other.

Youā€™re calling the person you suspected more, the Town in the situation, and the other one the scum?

#4144

Train of thought as Iā€™m reading:

Summary

didnā€™t you originally vote for eevee because well there looked like no escort and ā€œwhy the hell would a consort go for eeveā€

or was that someone else

does you know how probabilities work
the probability of 1 escort spawning given that another escort is already in the game
is the exact same as just the probability of 1 escort spawning
because they are
independent

Iā€™ve explained this a million times, I held true to my belief that eevee is just massive FPSing.

I would, regardless of my alignment, if we keep the witch alive :frowning:

Letā€™s formulate the mafia team

  1. we know a prankster exists
  2. katze was a capo

That leaves 2 slots, 1 for mafia tactical and 1 for random mafia.
For me to be a consort, it means that Marshal is actually telling the truth; it would mean that the mafia tactical slot carried out the kill, and Arete actually visited derps. We have a small case where Marshal is the witch, but that just makes everything confusing, and Iā€™m willing to Occamā€™s that.

Problem with this setup: I am an escort. Which means it leaves the random mafia slot to be open to anyone else, and it greatly increases the chances of Marshal being a witch.

Thank you.

No then I would be dead

Ima be out for most of the day, I have 20 minutes for the people that are here.
AMA if you wish.

#4145

I honestly think that we lynch a scum either way, and that Marshal vs Arete might be Witch vs Mafia.

#4146

Hereā€™s the problem.

Mafia Support is guaranteed. And right now, there are only three classes from those that can roll: Consort, Consigliere, and Agent. The chance of Consort rolling is 33%

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#4147

mk