ToS Mafia - Day 8 - (3/19) [Town wins!]

cough conclusions later, but also reminder that I was roleblocked n1 and cheese is alive cough

:newspaper_roll: Iā€™m on to something. Shhh

I would be more questioning why eevee knows and is using FBI psychological profiling methodes

Do I look like Iā€™m from the FBI?

Question stands.

Why would each kill in order come from either of this archetypes.

Note that ot is not yet connected to 2 ways to play sk.

Like there can be disorganized archetype who tries to scumhunt. Altho seems less likely than organized one picking that way.

Its still irrelevant at this stage.

i was about to make the mother of all tinfoils and then decided not to

ā€¦ Whatā€™s the point of saying that out loud?

just felt like sharing my thoughts, i dunno

Well it didnā€™t contribute to the conversation going on. To me, it feels somewhat out of place

/shrug

It feels like your behavior has drastically changed from the other days this game. Why is that?

Well the fact that they killed scum twice and missed once, presumably a heal stopped it or they were inactive. Would mean that the SK seemed to be scumhunting. They would seem to be going for scum to either get rid of their major threats or to get them out of the light.

The first kill in particular was a one vote wagon by only eevee at EOD. It would prob be someone who saw the same thing eevee saw or just blindly sheeped it and went for a kill cause a smart player scumread them. Honestly as I skimmed most of day 1 imma assume eevee was the first person who sussed kat. So they are either someone who agreed with eevee and thought it would be less likely protect target as eevee was sring them, someone who also saw them as scum and was going for the silent kill, someone who blidnly tr them and tried removing them, or was just a luck of the dice. I feel with the second scum kill imma assume its the first or second one at best

N2 there aint much to talk about as who knows

N3 is another mafia kill and not only that someone in poe of cits. Maybe they were trying to reduce the cit claims, maybe they were to worried with witch and doc to stop heals on a pr, it seems like they were sussing wazza and wanted him gone, found a connection in with unis flip, or was like lol kill. Granted a lot of these kills can be explained with lolkill.

Im more in the line of thinking that the sk wants mafia gone for some reason. Maybe they feel safe and want their only threats gone with the current revealed prs, maybe they dont care and are litterally playing their game to have fun over winning, maybe they are a legit idiot. SK kills are weird

I start to get stressed when thereā€™s something hard to do. Stress can make me change a lot.

No, because one he was rbed and the only way he wasnt if Cheese didnt rb him. And at that point the near confirmed cheese would have to lie or be pranked when we already had a prank on bepwei. I think Eevee has no chance on being sk, but he would be the type of player to make these type of kills

Sulit self healed and was attacked n2.

Thats a big thing in this analysis.

Oh shit, I forgot about that. That means Eevee canā€™t be SK after all

With that we know the SK is going for prs and scum only. They havent hit anything but that. They know what roles they need to remove and thats what they are getting. Like if we look at prs last night we have a town invest, a town vig, a town rb, a town heal, and two mafia evils, and a witch. Obvs wouldnt kill a witch, rber dies if the sk gets blocked so who cares about them, the healer who they already failed on, honestly thats a valid hit, town vig that could wifom a kill risky, town invest who led wagon on the scum, prob gonna be killed by maf, then two mafia who could killl them. Realistically u have two targets town healer or scum. If the sk is scumhunting they are only looking for two people. And if they can guess it right they got a big threat away, if not u hit a cit. All the mafia are in the cit pool

Tbh unorgainzed scumhunter.

And thatā€™s counterintuitive, I know.

You are missing one thing which jmw posted earlier.

Why risking Sulit kill n2 when you have still kept Ti claim from me.
With heavy tilt towards lookout in my hints.