ToS Mafia - Day 8 - (3/19) [Town wins!]

I’m kind of at a loss right now. Arete/Marshal makes my head hurt and I feel like we’re doing something wrong. Tomorrow I kind of just want to ISO everyone.

All this mechanical speculation isn’t helping us in my opinion. There’s too many unknowns and what ifs, and this kind of discussion is easily manipulated by scum.

(I should know, I tried it in Puella.)

1 Like

Which of the two do you find more scummy?

That’s why I was hoping by now it would be resolved, or at the very least people would move on from trying to solve it mechanically. Because when I would try and check in all I would see are this mafia forum generals making up simulations of the possibilities. I just feel like we get a better chance at finding the mafia if we begin trying to town check and not point fingers through functions

ok let’s get back to it

Because I only started thinking Arete is scum when the general opinion somehow shifted from scum meta to town meta
look at my posts it’s like I have the opposite of the meta read every time

I was wrong btw.

So you scumread him off of changing general opinion or does something in his ISO set you off?

What makes you think Marshal is town?

In all honesty, Marshal feels more scum-like due to his play. Marshal just doesn’t push this hard unless 1. He is close to figuring out the game or, since Arete said Marshal is most likely witch, 2. He has his win condition nearly filled.

The main reason why I don’t vote him is because if he is witch, this is literally the most bizarre move ever in my eyes. He doesn’t get anything major long-term. And that’s what he needs if he wishes to satisfy the win condition for witch.

Witches don’t need to survive to win, they just need scum to win.

So Capo didn’t self retrain, so it makes sense they retrained someone else or were performing kill.

Second option is countered by Marshal claim kinda.

Marshal town I posted on somewhere
I like to think my reads are my own and not just counter to general opinion but idk
meta reads are annoying when you don’t know the meta

This isn’t an explanation ):

what’s this about OOO?

I try
but no I don’t ISO people it’s painful I only use my phone

sips in spicy tea
Looks like my brain’s good for something after all

But like

Can you just give a couple sentences each on why you read them that way? That’s all I want.

I understand that, but his win condition is nowhere near met when doing this. Marshal likes to play for long-term in my eyes. Doing this just buys mafia some time but is nowhere near beneficial as having him alive if he is witch. Since he could just begin doing this regular Marshal meta and play unpredictably in tactics

I was wondering if Katze might of been self retraining, but no.
So they either killed someone (conflits with Marshal’s claim) or retrained someone else.

In second case we know more or less exactly what mafia did last night:

  1. Katze retrained X
  2. Was retrained by Katze
  3. Killed someone
  4. Prankster which made Bep’s heal notification

How do we know someone was retrained though?!

But that’s just the reasoning why I am not completely sure on him yet. Personally I just wish there was more pressure on other claims to see if they are true or not. At least if they are townie. I think I remember reading back something about Eevee being RBed (?) by Clonedcheese

Cause either someone was retrained or Katze would carry out the kill.

Why would they no-action if all mafia have roles. (more useful roles than Katze’s when it comes to countering townies pretty much)