I agree, especially why Capo wouldn’t retrain one Mafia before he dies.
There is already one roleblock claimed by Eevee, so having him as Mafia together with ClonedCheese as Prankster ain’t far-fetched. This doesn’t gamesolve though.
It’s just a theory.
Mafia Prediction:
Con Thing - Katze
Consort - Cloned
Prankster - Literally Anyone
No Clue, not seen anything from this slot - Literally Anyone
I have no read anyone else so I have no reads.
Am I going to read anyone else for these slots to be filled in?
no
Do I care?
no
Logic suggests this is correct. I can’t for sure pinpoint the sincerity in Cloneds recount of last night though.
Yes.
Because Cloned is scum, and I’m sticking with that.
Who knows, you could’ve actually lied about the N1 RB while Katze turned Cloned into a Consort? That’s entirely possible in my book.
AFTER Cloned would’ve been changed into Consort.
But hey, that’s just a theory.
a possible one but one that has a low chance with no backup evidence.
Apparently chance for RT to roll citizen is over 40%.
…
…
PARANOIA HERE I COME EMBRACE YOU
They still have one prankster. However since Capo died, this does mean Mafia Support is doing the factional kills, if they are not Consort?
Would you do that as scum in expense for not having information about the people?
There’s only place for 7 citizens guaranteed, which makes…how many cit claims again? 12?
(2/13) + (11/13)*(2/13) +(1-(11/13)*(2/13))*(2/13)
1st RT chance - 2/13
2nd RT chance - (1-(2/13))*(2/13) = 11/13 * 2/13
(If 1st slot did not rand cit, second is randing for it)
3rd slot analogicly - (1- ((11/13) *(2/13))) *(2/13)
(If 2nd slot didn’t roll cit, third is randing for it)
If you count the formula at the start at the post it will give you over 40%.
And this will go even higher, since in reality it was 2/12
(due to vet being unique and existing, so it would rerand on vet)
