Umineko FM - Game Over - Mafia Wins

We shouldn’t discount the fact that there could be a NK actually since it’d explain the lack of NK

Also could be the Mafia finding the NK and the NK hitting town

Whatever the case is, odds are one know the other if they exist

I’m voting between Conduit and Erika today. Maybe I’ll self-vote if I’m in L-1. Who knows tbh

I think Zone is also an option I wouldn’t remove off the map

The disappearance in WiM makes me believe that he’s not GS though so mh?

I’m operating under the thought process scum wouldn’t low-post but then past games on here, ltierally the last 2 games I played where I both randed scum both times, my scummates were like, really dead weight sometimes.

Counter argument

image

Coloring post counts makes it so literally the people who have room to be scum are 100+ posting

The why of a Derps NK is still very wild unless it was the NK who targeted him I don’t really see a world where it works

wazza said he can’t rez catt if he has his flip scrubbed, unless you’re referring to your own info and even then you’d have to ask if a retri would risk rezzing scum on a cleaned flip in the first place. pkr has been misplaying tho, and in such a way that like idfk. it’s so safe to claim you jk’d the bp claim if scum. I really should reread the wazza+pkr interactions d2. I don’t think it’s them tho atm, and if it’s any of them I’m damn near certain it’s not both.

I’m trying to think of a world where derps actually is mafia bp and gets targetted by the NK and then fakes a bd action but it’s way too deep for me to believe

Cat had the info before and knowing Cat’s role the fact they cannot be rezzed heavily indicates the potential of Wazza’s role being real

Something I just realized: Gravedigger existing makes like, slightly less sense for Wazza but I still socially think he’s semi-town so it’s not that big of a hit to his townreaded~ness for me

My setup theory goes the way that he cannot rez Cattail just for balance purpose because it’d mean something really hard to work around for scum

I mean I can’t play here ever again because of my self meta. Like sure I could write the high post count off as loving the flavor, but my last scum rand I literally didn’t post once.

hurr self meta

I don’t quite follow. I just know there is a witch of resurrection in umineko and wazza has a cute avatar.

and i guess they seemed more distraught over the roleblock than pkr, but that could just be post count bias.

Okay I’m thinking

I’ve completely gave up on socailly solving this until we get a scum-flip in which case I’d tryhard the hell out of this game to turn it into a town win

So right now

I know I randed town

Cattail/Santa is probably V/V always

Wazza/PKR is probably V/V aswell

That’s 5 people

Imagine 5 scum

3 townies to find

Conduit/Strawberry is pretty much always W/V just the fact that, Strawberry wants to keep conduit open is like very W/V interaction wise

Zone has room to be town killing

Rue I’ve kind of re-evaled into always being Town

Reasoning is mostly mech speculation actually, there’s many town roles that are able to kill (I’ll get to explain why at some time) so basically 2 people out of

Zone
Conduit
Erika
Hippo
SDA
Strawberry

is where I’m at

Now I understand my 180 on Rue is kinda crazy but whatever we have to deal with it

Conduit / Strawberry is V/W I think

Which would mean there is 1 among Hippo Erika SDA Zone who is town

That’s where I’m at right now

The gunsmith claim is way more believable than AC which is really something that would make me believe they are town

Conduit / Strawberry probably doesn’t have room to be W/W

Centuries
Santa=Cattail
Wazza
Rue
PKR
Conduit//Strawberry


Hippo
Erika
SDA
Zone
Conduit/Strawberry

I may have miscounted

Strawberry’s attitude towards Conduit is very non teammate like so idk

If I wanted to keep PoE open I’d move PKR done rather than one of Conduit or Strawberry

I’m fairly certain I’m endgaming if it’s a wolf win and if it’s a game that goes to LYLO I’m probably there until the whole game is in my neighbourhood