Umineko FM: Turn of the Golden Witch - Game Over - Wolves Win

[Shurian]

Oh no.

@Marluxion
Do you smell that?

[PokemonKidRyan]

I do think it is best to do the meta analysis when you’re awake Chloe.

However, at least what you’ve said there is good for me to reference to if I’m thinking back to the interactions between you both.

Hopefully be the time you’re back, Light will have been able to post more and will have replied to your request. So there’ll be more to analyse.

[CRichard564]

Hmmm thinking about Light more.
If he indeed randed wolf, then it seems that he tried to make himself look towny by going for a “tunnel” on Chloe.
Which didn’t seem to have worked out that well if that is the world we’re living in.

[Chloe]

The general vibe I’ve been getting is that consensus seems to view Light as >rand W (correct me if I’m wrong, as I’m half asleep and running off of memory)

Yet the votecount doesn’t reflect that view

Mrrrr

There’s a bit of pushback that I’ll have to read into when I’m awake
Can get preflippy, which I’ll try to stray away from
But if Light flips wolf at any point it’s definitely something to look into in more detail

[Chloe]

I haven’t seen or felt any opportunistic takes/votes on him

The lack of what I’d expect wolf agenda to look like against a villager in Light’s position is nagl
Feels like wolves aren’t going for the odd man out, which is odd in itself

Potential that I’m wrong on where wolves are, but still
Nobody has really taken advantage of his horrible push and artificial behavior when he’s in a pretty uh… good spot for wolves to push agenda on

Weird shit bro

[Shurian]

I wonder why the votecount doesn’t reflect that

I dunno I’m just tree-ing rn ngl waiting for Marl

[CRichard564]

@Shurian

I wonder why the votecount doesn’t reflect that

That’s a good point. I’ll have to think about this more after I socialise with my chess club buddies who I haven’t seen for a while.

[Appelsiini]

Rise and shine, everyone. I said I’d enter with an infodump today, so I’ll try to condense this as much as possible. Questions are allowed, and will be answered

So far I townread both Chloe and Min, Chloe for her actions + reaction to Light’s push and Min for seeming comfortable in thread and displaying natural thought process

Light is… weird, but if I’ve learned anything from Pokemon 9er, it’s that I shouldn’t give people benefit of the doubt because “no way a wolf acts this erratically”

From what I’ve seen, Wind seems to be somewhat of a consensus town which is ?? because I’ve seen a lot of scummy things from them, I’m actually confused no one else has pointed out anything

CRich and Gorta are somewhat towny from looking at their tone alone
PKR and Marl less so, but haven’t seen anything too scummy from these 4 despite my initial thought process on PKR

[min]

@Appelsiini

I’ve seen a lot of scummy things from them, I’m actually confused no one else has pointed out anything

Can you show me what you saw from wind that was scummy??

[an_gorta_pratai]

@Chloe

The general vibe I’ve been getting is that consensus seems to view Light as >rand W (correct me if I’m wrong, as I’m half asleep and running off of memory)

no, I definitely see it.

@Appelsiini

because I’ve seen a lot of scummy things from them, I’m actually confused no one else has pointed out anything

elaborate on this

[Chloe]

I’ve forgotten everything wind has posted ngl

I dont even know where i stand on her lmfao

[an_gorta_pratai]

Light’s push isn’t in good faith. It’s just kind of “X/Y wolves” and when asked “I can’t explain this”. It’s something I would expect from Seth or Derps

[Chloe]

Playing with cas makes me so happy

Shes so wonderful to be around

Good night, thread

[min]

That’s actually really weird that you don’t remember considering she’s one of the top posters but I literally don’t even know remember much either. Maybe I’m just tired but I’ll go iso her to remember what she’s posted

@an_gorta_pratai

Light’s push isn’t in good faith. It’s just kind of “X/Y wolves” and when asked “I can’t explain this”. It’s something I would expect from Seth or Derps

It’s such a weird push to do as scum because it’s…so obviously scummy? That’s why I was hesitant to really equate that to light being scummy in the first place because it seems waaay too obvious but ? ? ?

Gn chloe

[an_gorta_pratai]

I just haven’t liked Light from the start

[an_gorta_pratai]

@min

It’s such a weird push to do as scum because it’s…so obviously scummy? That’s why I was hesitant to really equate that to light being scummy in the first place because it seems waaay too obvious but ? ? ?

I really don’t know

[min]

I skimmed through winds iso and it’s really not that special. Towards the end of it, I did like the fact wind started being more productive and giving out a bit more content then just like. Fluffposting. I wanna hand them a slight townlean as of now.

It is 3:26 am rn and I need to sleep

[Appelsiini]

Agh. Why do you gotta be so nice, Chloe >:( Stop it
I’m in class so I might be a little on and off, but my Windward scumread is actually really simple.

They’re so

@WindwardAway

I’ve only played one game with Appel so far, and it was my first. She was town there so I don’t really have anything to compare her to. Without using meta I guess she looks a little stiff in the thread but I can’t say for sure whether it’s AI or not.

So so so

@WindwardAway

While it could just be NAI, I think if they were scum they could just as easily let that part slip since it’s kind of likely the town might not think so much about this point without being reminded to again.

So, so so so

@WindwardAway

I think my TR on Marl is mostly because we joked around and vibed. I know he’s more experienced as a wolf and he wouldn’t be awkward in the thread, but I’m not seeing any wolfy signs from him as of right now. I’d like to trust that my intuition is usually right on him, too, although I know i can’t just rely on that as an accurate tell every game.

Hedgy??

The Wind I remember was full-on solving and making wallposts, so this is a drastic difference from what I’ve seen. They’re the top poster, but most of their posts are just joking and talking about the event. They’re very cautious when it comes to making actual reads.

Wind has only had one scum game so far, and even that is a bit questionable since it was Quantum Mafia. This seems like a newbwolf trying to coast and being too afraid to engage
The fact that people are townreading her is weird

[an_gorta_pratai]

@Appelsiini

The Wind I remember was full-on solving and making wallposts, so this is a drastic difference from what I’ve seen.

I want to say I made that mistake once and Wind was town (not discounting your entire read, just this part)

[Shurian]

@Appelsiini

The Wind I remember was full-on solving and making wallposts, so this is a drastic difference from what I’ve seen. They’re the top poster, but most of their posts are just joking and talking about the event. They’re very cautious when it comes to making actual reads.

The Wind I know lost 3 games in a row tunneling me with the same methods