Btw, I didn’t edit that post. It was a system edit.
But I think you have a better chance of flipping Town than Ash. I already have my vote on them and I still see some people voting for you, so I feel this is going to be a big battle here
In 10v3 we get 3 mislynches; the fourth mislynch loses us the game. We’ve used one already yesterday, meaning that we can safely mislynch two people, but not three. This also means that, with 11 players alive, if we can create a pure towncore of 6 living players we should win.
Currently GKB is locktown and I’m fairly confident in the alignments of Kyle, Marshal, and Jake (I’m less sure on reflection about whether Bep actually townslipped) with relative confidence Jake>Marshal>Kyle. If I add myself, that’s 5 people, so if I haven’t miscleared anyone then I only need to solve one more townie to win.
- Do we think I’ve miscleared anyone?
- Anyone have candidates for a last townie for my towncore?
anyways goodnight everyone
Personally i think an ash lynch solves a townie.
I think ash and htm are the same alignment while merc is a different alignment from them both.
an ash lynch solves 1 town and 1 scum for me regardless of what it flips.
and if we solve that 1 town, we’ve solved the game
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On the one hand I agree with basically all of that but on the other hand lolpreflips
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well we can see how the nighkills shake out or if anyone brings spice to the thread.
but our biggest spice factory died n1 and right now i feel like i have a good grasp on the game.
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a me/kyle/arete/jake/gkb towncore is a towncore that holds 5 town around 80% of the time i’d wager.
so we just have to find a few more town
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I should probably do some NKA on Dat at some point in case the kill was more than a cop hunt
but right now I think I will go to sleep
i’m leaning kyle on this one.
only because of the possibility that in a w kyle wold N0’s weren’t talked about in scumchat or kyle just didn’t… look at scumchat.
otherwise he’s pretty clear townie to me.
I am interested to see his perspective on the game though.
i cant remember hearing from him in a while
I think the odds of W!Kyle not looking at scumchat are basically zero, I know in my first scum game my first instinct was “go ask my scumbuddy for help” (this did not work super well)
I think in worlds where it was a fake slip he was almost always specifically coached into townslipping
i agree on this one.
but the problem i have with this is who?
i know you and i are sometimes coaches but for some odd reason i don’t think any of us are scum :^)
is it one of the CD nerds? i don’t see it.
maybe a w squid, w merc, or w htm world i could see it.
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Actual take
Cop equity aside Dat being the kill points to a scumteam dominated by people from here rather than from CD people (like, GKB notably pegged all 4 Mafia on D2 last game). Dat’s a common SPK here but I don’t think that would be immediately obvious to off-siters.
If I had to guess there’s a maximum of 1 CD person on the scumteam