you donât even understand who youâre fucking dealing with. I have advanced degrees in statistics and computer science and Iâve created a simple program with an advanced algorithm that Iâve been working on for years. I have read and tracked over 600 forum mafia games, recording every fencesit, every association, every scumtell. I have over 50 documented, specific forms and versions of scumtells and towntells, and at this point I can just skim a thread and put it into my machine. I have reduced the cacophonous lies of forum mafia into a pure, beautiful mathematical formula, and itâs led me to literal hundreds of wins.
Why do I think youâre scum? I donât deign to think about you myself. Instead, I thought about how to create a program to know mathematically whether you are scum. I donât need to think about you, because my algorithm has determined that youâre scum to an 87% certainty. You cannot beat those numbers at this stage in the game. Weâre talking about a mere 13% chance that youâre a town member so monumentally bad at this game that you fooled a computer program that has successfully identified over 500 unique mafia players as scum with over 96% accuracy. Your only defense, in other words, is that you are so naturally scummy that you are an outlier.
Whether youâre town or mafia, this is a message from mathematics â you are bad at this game. You have played so scummy that a perfectly objective process has labeled you as scum. Whether that makes you bad at playing your specific rolecard or bad in general, there is no question that behaving like scum means you have not performed well. Consider this a welcome wakeup call, as hundreds have before you: If a player decides youâre scum, itâs possible you just got unlucky, but if a computer program can be that certain of your alignment, there are some serious holes in your game, because it means youâre scum in an objective sense, rather than a subjective one. For that reason, Iâm willing to roll that die and take that 13% risk, because even if thereâs a small chance you might be town, thereâs not even a remote chance that youâre good
