Better than you mate. Then again that is not saying much.
Sorry if I’m being harsh but you are just so hilariously ignorant about this. It is like arguing that gravity does not exist. There is no room for argument. You are arguing against long-established fact which you are too arrogant/not clever enough to understand, so therefore dismiss it.
I’m not gonna reply again as you’re clearly never gonna admit how stupidly wrong you are as you are too proud.
Correct. As extreme as that example sounds, that risk is insignificant.
If there was a 1 in a million chance something would happen and you provide a million instances of the function, then yes, you shouldn’t be surprised that it might happen. But remember - just because you test a million people doesn’t mean the button is automatically pressed – that is a common fallacy of probability. It works the other way around too – don’t expect the first person given the button to not to blow up the world.
When n=1,000,000 you can expect intense accuracy of the stated probability.
I’ll try to keep us on base here – I doubt anybody will reach 1 million games of ToL.
at what number does a number switch from being insignificant to significant then ?
given a 1 in x chance of an event occurring at what stage can you say that x is insignificant .
I’m gonna use dice
If I roll 4 d4 is the chance of rolling a 4 on one of them insignificant ?
If I roll 6 d6 is the chance of rolling a 6 on one of them insignificant ?
If I roll 8 d8 is the chance of rolling a 8 on one of them insignificant ?
If I roll 10 d10 is the chance of rolling a 10 on one of them insignificant ?
If I roll 20 d20 is the chance of rolling a 20 on one of them insignificant ?
If I roll 100 d100 is the chance of rolling a 100 on one of them insignificant ?
the trouble is significance is set at an arbitrary level so is only valid if you state your level of significance.
Which means starting something is insignificant is only valid against a pre agreed level of significance.
Also you are using base probability to define statistical insignificanace , where as you should be comparing it to sample size .
1 – (999999 /1,000,000)1,000,000 (“to the power” no superscript on forum)= probability that given a million goes , someone pushes the button = 0.6321 or 63%
So unless you think a 63% chance of the event occurring is insignificant …
you guys keep using the 1 in a million thing, but it is not a 1 in a million chance of having a game thrower on your team
I think really now we are just discussing statistics.
without an accurate description of game throwing or legitimate tracking of game throwing we can’t begin to analyse it
agreed, let’s not discuss the statistics anymore, as it is clear neither of us are going to be convinced