In Mafia type games, there are two methods of deduction: Social and Logical.
Social deduction involves making reads in other player’s behavior in the way they talk (or not talk) and vote.
Logical deduction involves taking in all claims and night actions and seeing what does not add up.
The problem lies in the logical deduction part. There are so many night actions and ways to cross-reference claims. For example, you can claim Physician as Assassin, but then a Princess can see you are killer/off and you instantly get exed.
Now you may think, well shouldn’t you claim something that makes it hard for people to cross-reference? Every class that is ideal for that has turned into a meme. KNIGHT CLAIM LUL CW CLAIM LUL PRINCESS LUL. I’ve found that the only consistent plays I can do as evil are extremely risky claims like Alchemist or even Mercenary (telling my evil partner to claim he was guarded). Otherwise, you’re just sitting there hoping the spotlight doesn’t shine on you.
Lying in this game is too difficult. In fact, the most ideal way to play evil is 100% social. You have to steer chat to such bedlam in order to pass into the mid and end game unscathed. This isn’t always possible.
Not to mention Day 1 debs or investigations. Good luck. There is zero counter play. In typical Mafia games, you could counter-claim or your evil partner could counter claim that investigative. Doing that is suicide because BD has enough numbers, jails, king exe or CS (or DK) to make sure that even in the worst case scenario, you are trading a BD for an evil.
Don’t get me started on D1 scouts
Enough with me going on and on, let me shine light on the core problems that allow this to happen.
- No one knows what the role composition of the match is, so you can’t plan your counter claims and craft appropriate lies.
- Too many players means that BD can afford bad exes. In fact, bad exes are typically good for BD, as it narrows down the evil players that have shaky enough claims as it is.
- Every class is semi-unique, meaning you can’t claim a role that “blends in” with the majority. The ones that you can use to blend in (phys, knight, CW) are already super suspicious claims and you’ll instantly get exed for it.
- There are some classes with night actions that absolutely dick you. Debauchery is unfun to use and unfun to play against. What can you possibly do when you get debbed? Even in the best case scenario where you claim Drunk and say you debbed the real Drunk and actually get him exed, you’re just going to jail and dying. Trading a majority player for a minority is never good.
- The majority of classes are impossible to claim without someone pointing out your shit logs. GL claiming Observer or Psychic or Prince or anything that hasn’t become a meme already.
Personally, the best solution to this problem involves reducing the player count per lobby and changing how class compositions are spawned each game. I suggest the following changes:
- Reduce lobby count to 14
- Show the class composition of each game (instead of the vague guidelines it has now)
- Adding vanilla BD roles and making power roles actual power roles (rather than villagers with low impact night actions)
There are other possible changes, but starting with this could be a good start.