Minority Rule 3 - This Time It's Personnel, Kid [Ashe wins!]

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#162

It could even be a boat!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZpIog7e-R4

3 Likes
#163

27 rooms.
So chances a room is originally chosen is
1/27 (x4)

Chances False rolls as Majority is:
1/27 (x4) x 1/23 (As 27 - False and the other 3 rooms = 27 - 4 = 23) = 1/621 @KyoDaz

#164

Iā€™m starting to doubt False is Majority now.

#165

It probably gets a bit more complicated than that, because itā€™s technically 1/27 + 1/26 + 1/25 + 1/24 because rooms canā€™t be picked twice.

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#166

Ah yes, AP Stats was a good time.

Methnor is correct here. That being said, False has the same chances of being picked - it just has a 1/23 chance of being Majority that you then need to multiply in.

So any given room has around a 15% chance of being picked, but thereā€™s a 4% chance that False chose to be Majority, leading to a 0.6% chance of a False Majority overall.

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#167

Jesus that is still really low.

#168

UNLESS THE HOST RIGGED IT FOR ENTERTAINMENT VALUE

I mean who what where

3 Likes
#169

Please say you have

(In a PM so then they donā€™t know)

1 Like
#170

lol

#171

w/ KyoDaz Yes itā€™s a false, pick something else

Huh? Did I say something? I think I was Trollboxed!

3 Likes
#172

I aint picking it anyway. I want that Saint buff.

#173

Oh and if anyone wants to steal my Saint buff just know there is a chance you get Cursed and if I do get cursed instead of you I have healthy so it doesnā€™t really affect me.

4 Likes
#174

ya know if you donā€™t pick the majority room and it isnā€™t false then you still die, right?

#175

If you pick Majority and itā€™s false and Majority is the Majority you die.

#177

Ignore that.

#178

He said ā€œyesā€

#179

Actually the probability that any room in question is chosen is:
1 - ((26/27) * (25/26) * (24/25) * (23/24))
And if false is rolled then thereā€™s one more roll to determine its appearance, but in that roll false cannot be rolled
So the probability of a false appearing as majority being rolled is as follows:
(1 - ((26/27) * (25/26) * (24/25) * (23/24))) * (1/26)
Or 1/26 the chance of it actually being majority

#180

No, False canā€™t roll as any other room in the pool

Other than that though you are correct

#181

then what can false roll as

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#182

Anything that isnā€™t already in the round

1 Like