I had my answer prepared because I went through the last hour of posts once the night started and rewrote all my notes. I gave myself links to posts I wanted to quote and wrote down all my thought processes. Also, I literally just hardclaimed as the town tracker so I’m not sure what else I need to say about it, but here goes. This is what I pulled together during the night, before getting feedback on Cloned’s night actions:
Very strange wording by Worse. Why would Worse want to convince people not to vote Cloned if he never cleared Silviu in his mind? I wish I’d seen this earlier to jump on it, but I was sitting at the doctor for 3 hours and I skimmed the messages I had missed within the last 10 minutes of D1. But if that was a scum slip then both Cloned and Worse are our wolves, and Cloned just made a last-ditch effort to save himself. In that case, Cloned encouraged me to out as a PR in order to use it as a method to save himself because I was voting on him and if people followed me as an outed noob PR, he’d be voted out too fast.
I admit my final read on Silviu was really wrong and I made a huge mistake saying I didn’t think he was vanilla. My original read on his was actually, as I wrote in my notes, “EITHER scum OR upset VT” because he didn’t know who had the PR (which is why I didn’t see a point in taking my vote off him when Arctic asked if I was going to; I wanted to see how people interpreted it and figured the risk of a costly mislynch was pretty minimal), but I rethought this later on and assumed he wasn’t vanilla because of the way he plays (and unfortunately, now I know that he wasn’t lying when he said that really is his play style and that it’s fairly consistent compared to his previous game).
Note that Worse agreed when I said Silviu couldn’t be vanilla and voted him in favor of trusting Cloned.
Now, back to the voting patterns of people jumping on the “lynch Wind” bandwagon yesterday - Cloned jumped on after there was already a lot of suspicion on me, and Worse jumped on after that for somewhat unclear reasons to me after I pressured people to vote me out (and I know that was a really risky and probably bad play as town, but I was hard baiting the scum by doing so, and I think at least Min realized what I was doing). So this is what I meant by asking to see who sussed/voted me last - these two did both. They were late to jump on the wagon and they would’ve gotten a town PR voted out pretty smoothly if they could just convince one more person that I was the best candidate for lynching, but the easy work was being done by the actual town, so Cloned and Worse didn’t even have to say much besides generally agreeing with everyone else’s reads on me until I specifically asked Cloned for his reasoning against me, which he gave but I didn’t (and still don’t) feel like it was a full read so much as trying to elaborate on the flaws Arctic had pointed out. I don’t think Worse noticed right away but I do think Cloned noticed I was likely a PR already and wanted me gone - but because other town was beginning to question whether I was a PR, he prodded me to out myself and then hopped off me to “confirm” himself as town.
The sus would be primarily on Cloned if I died N1, as Silviu flipped town and he knew I would also flip town, and because the three of us were accusing each other in a triangle (with Cloned accusing both of us but then later backtracking and agreeing with me that only one of the three of us could be a wolf), he wouldn’t take a killing action tonight on me in case someone else saw it and I turned up dead. He would offload the task of killing to his cohort, Worse, and possibly bus him because he’s a liability as a quiet newbie who doesn’t know how to cover his tracks yet (especially after that slip).
Now for what I wrote as speculation that would be determined by Cloned’s night actions:
My strategy will be to either confirm Cloned as town based on the results of the night actions, or confirm Cloned as scum by my death (unless they decide to push me on D2). I think Cloned might have a pretty good idea of what my role is. If he’s smart he will either use his action on me to confirm himself, or he won’t use an action and let Worse go for the kill. If I track him tonight, I might see him on me if he’s down. If I don’t see him on anyone, Worse is killing. If Cloned doesn’t visit anyone tonight after having claimed a PR, it will look very sus to me. But I could be totally wrong, and there could be just one town PR and one mafia PR.
And now, based on the results of last night:
As I saw, Cloned was on me last night and I was not killed. If Cloned is mafia, he was smart and delegated the killing task to someone else. Considering he did use a night action, he’s definitely a PR as he claimed, but the question is now whether he’s mafia PR or not. Keep in mind that what I wrote in my speculation during the night was if Cloned and Worse are w/w, and I’m not necessarily convinced of that because I chose to follow Cloned to prove them as a PR rather than following Worse (and thought there was a chance Cloned would be a roleblocker, in which case I would have been notified).
So I may have been completely wrong about one of Cloned, Silviu and me being a wolf, or I may still be right. But my highest scumread right now is actually on Worse.
Regarding Gorta’s sudden vote switch, I’m gonna write something on him later.