Late in the day
Also
Sorry gorta
There is no world where i convert you
Ill humor Janeās MM me world for a bit
D1 Iām TRād by most, āobv townā, and so thenā¦then i go convert gorta?
/shrug
Ill wait for the casse
Jane
Where do you think the deaths went?
I was healed, I have a little confidence that I was probably attacked too
Whichā¦gives some credit to Jane, doesnāt itā¦
Hrg
Eh
That was a stupid question
Since if i was attacked it was probably NK trying to keep the pool open, and Jane is an MM suspect
Also is 5all speculation, so probably not gonna base anything off it
Well, Iāve woken up only to find that there really arenāt that many posts to respond to, which is surprising. I guess I will do the āquote ā replyā thing again this time.
If my calculations are right, scum should have only 1 bleed left.
-Bleed on SDA came from Italy;
-Bleed on Kat came from scum;
-Bleed on myself came from scum;
-Second bleed on Kat is mine.
Meaning, they probably have 1 charge of dayocc + 1 charge of bleed left.
Gorta healing me could actually be a thing and it would confirm both him and myself (since heād get notified if I wouldnāt die, therefore he would know that my bleed would be āfakeā).
Paradox should probably be used on Intensify because like I described above, scum probably has 1 charge of dayocc left (unless they used it on D1 for no reason).
Jane wasnāt my first suspect because most attention was on Italy ā who didnāt defend himself either. After last night (game night), I spent my time thinking about possible misclears ā thatās where the whole Jane/Gorta/Kat pile comes from.
Except I was the one of the few people saying that I think Appel can still be town since she had some good posts.
And I wasnāt around during EoD to CFD from her, not to mention that only two people ever questioned CRichardās attempt to quickhammer her to begin with.
And my suspects were within Italy/yourself on D3, which was a more or less a widespread opinion ā which I expressed dissatisfaction about. Not to mention that the whole reason I tagged/replaced Katās vote on Italy was because at that point of the game I viewed him as possible scum, then got punished for it.
Well, Iām going to be eagerly awaiting it because I think that TBE can only be a N2/N3 conversion at best. Otherwise his play is near suicidal ā proposing bounty on someone as MM isā¦ A thing? Not to mention that it would make TBE a scum god on his third (fourth?) game, which I guess might be a possibility, but I still doubt it.
On a semi-related note, overnight (irl night) I think I found a tinfoil that would explain Katās play during D3 and the reason he can still be NK, but I want to wait for his presence.
Last but not least, imo this is where we are standing PoE-wise (this is derived from a combination of mechanical information and social reads):
MM candidates:
Jane;
NK candidates:
Kat, Gorta;
Convert candidates:
Cloned, TBE, Kat.
The fact that there are up to 3 unseen and 1 NK still alive is honestly making me uneasy.
Oh and from this, Kat can obviously only be a N1 conversion.
Since Brotherhood + Empower from Vulgard happened on N2 iirc (for some reason I kept thinking it was Ice Ward, but it wasnāt).
And he was jailed last night.
except heād be told the next night, not the night of delaying you
wait no longer
my holiness is here
you are effectively a wildcard since you have yet to be a 
converting obvious town is both obvious and logical
/shrug
I mean
If you think Iām scoom
On one hand thank you for thinking my scum game is so glorious
On the other hand my town play isnāt that bad
Could you give me your thoughts on the threadstate/current PoE? Because Iām still not confident in this whatsoever.
Also, I think thereās probably a moderate chance you could be attacked (and therefore saved) from death last night.
So, throwback to the whole āJane Dazzles X, I redirect them to Intensifyā.
My tinfoil is that thereās a scenario where you could be an Arbiter, and instead of redirecting Janeās Dazzle, you could just use:
Which would:
-Confirm yourself if done at a proper time;
-Potentially damn Jane if done at improper time.
Furthermore, this might be confbias but you already talked about this precise scenario before which is a part of why I even remembered about it, here:
Obviously this would require perfect timing, but ehā¦ After seeing Napoleon faking Bounty and taking it to L-1, combined with the knowledge that you are an actually experienced player ā I wouldnāt put it past you.
That would also explain the reason we were missing kills with you in jail, and that would explain your mindset/interactions with CRichard during this game ā because I donāt think thereās a world where you are ever starting groupscum, period.
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Besides, it also fits with the world where you are convert, but that would require you to know beforehead that Intensify wouldnāt be lynched on D3.
Which isā¦ I guess possible, but also a bit less likely.
Ight
I made a readslist last night that i posted
But I said the misclear zone was likely kat/Jane/Cheese and it cant be cheese so now Iām at kat/Jane and now thatās no longer a spicy opinion
Nappy
Ans
Mode
Intensify
Cheese
Gorta
Kat
Arete
Jane
I hate how much of this is mech but yeah
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Also wait I thought the notification was instant.
Well, he could in theory be confirmed if he heals me alone (and Seth doesnāt) while Jane flirts me ā so in case I die he dies next, but yeah.
Also why are we clearing on the potential to self resolve
Like, only Witcher/rit/bloodletter cant self resolve, so scum are going to claim that 90% of the time
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I donāt think we are āclearingā people, we are justā¦ taking this into account. Mech info is useful as a supplement to our general reads.
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āThatā refers to classes that can self resolve, at least in some way
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the tinfoil certainly makes sense
but in the case that im arbiter, that means that
- N2 had a missing kill or i chose to not use my free extra kill for some reason
- i told the king and TBE who i thought the vessel was on N2 as the NK instead of just stabbing them
- i fakeclaimed puppeter with no knowledge of a high priestess existing to āconfirmā myself
- id highly risk putting myself in a guaranteed 2 person arbiter PoE between me and jane if i messed up
well, me being a N1 convert would also make me killing the king who i thought the vessel was on N2 a bit less absurd, but i still think iād hide omit the fact that i was 90% sure jane was the vessel on N2
either way, i think itās pretty fucking obvious im not the MM and the MM is optimally who we want to lynch today/jailexe tonight