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Magnus โ Strong Wolf. Based on meta, should be slank-vigged unless he is night immune, then he should be lynched. In short, his wolf meta involves a lot of inactivity as heโs typically far more active as village, see this in NDFM, the difference in posting in Ritual Mafia 3 before and after he was converted, and how he was purely lurking in NFoL3 until people began pushing on him.
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Kai_5 โ Strong Village, and with Possessedโs flip in mind then Iโd chalk what happened in the first day as a likely TvT. Iโm quite sure Noz is Blue Dragon here as he was attracting way too much negative attention by bed oโ clocking people for no reason. The game just began, so the motivation here looks to be more for mischievous fun rather than any form of malice and disruption. Were he scum or a neutral then he would most likely keep his memeโing down to not attract as much negative attention. Overall Iโd chalk Kai to very likely village in this case.
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GamerPoke โ Neutral Claim. Open-claimed a neutral class, but doesnโt want to out which. A vig that has guilt should take care of him ASAP in order to solve his slot. Point is, Poke does not want to out his class, so we have no idea if he can mechanically confirm himself or if his wincon is for or against us.
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Isaac_Gonzalez โ Lean Wolf. Isaac is Isaac, so you canโt exactly read him based off the content that he generates, as he generates none. However a difference that I noticed between his posts this match is that heโs far more subdued than how I typically see him. His spamming and noob-calling has been tone-downed by a significant chunk, so this could potentially be AI. However, this in part may be due to the entire blacklist issue that began earlier this month, which is why I want to take more time to evaluate my reads on him.
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MaximusPrime โ Strong Wolf. In short, his entire framing of the Margaret versus DatBird situation looks really bad from my point of view. See my posts where I meant that the conflict between both of them have strong TvT vibes? From how I read the conflict, the way that Margaret raised an objection towards DatBird and then backed down has the progression of two villagers misunderstanding each other regarding mechanics. The way he insisted in pushing this thunderdome, especially as he knows that Margaret fakeclaims and lies a lot of as village, makes me read him as a wolf intentionally trying to spurn a mislynch followed by a misvig with his comment โif not, then datbird is confirmed scum and if we have a vig then they can shoot them anyway or something.โ If MaximusPrime flips wolf then both Margaret and DatBird are likely cleared of being members of that faction.
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DatBird โ Strong Village. To piggyback Astandโs point, DatBird instantly claiming his discarded class and even informing what happened during the class selection points to him either having a secondary backup fakeclaim with a pre-made story or him truth telling regarding to it. Occamโs Razor points towards the latter, and his involvement with the game makes me safely put DatBird in the towncore.
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Boss110 โ Strong Village. To start off, his wolf and village range are very far off to the point that you can reliably read him in the first day. Boss questions stuff far more as village while as wolf heโs just kind of there without doing much. Read more on how Bossโ village play differs as in NDFM and FoL21 and his wolf play differs in FoL. Right now heโs way out of his wolf range and he likely never flips wolf because of how he started the match and how he is actually participating in an attempt to game solve.
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Fireslol โ Neutral Claim. BlueStorm claimed that both him and Fireslol are a two-person neutral class. Iโm leaving these two alone for now as they have a stupidly confirmable ability. If one dies, then this effectively means that the other one becomes a neutral killer, so keep this in mind.
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PokemonKidRyan โ Lean Wolf. Point is, I am skeptical towards the idea that he is not allow to create AI-posts due to his PR, especially as heโs been after the King non-stop. So far heโs yet to do any sorting besides tunneling into the obvious EK that weโd probably need some form of mechanical out to kill. If he keeps refusing to read players then he should be allowed to bleed to death rather than be healed. Nobody should ever take his claim for granted as he tends to do a lot of mechanical gambits as a wolf, so heโs very in his wolf range for now, ergo as I have said above should absolutely not be healed unless his second day is stellar.
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Margaret โ Lean Village. She seems to be actually trying this match because of the blacklist clusterfuck, from a first glance. I still want to see where this odd gambit of here further leads. Iโd shelf this as likely BD or at worst a wolf-aligned neutral due to how her progression with DatBirdโs argument went as by thunderdoming DatBird she was putting herself to be at the risk of a lynch, which contradicts her wolf range to simply fly under the rather. As I have said in the thread yesterday the conflict between DatBird and Margaret looks to be a very likely TvT one due to how it went, so I chalk this up to a misunderstanding of mechanics rather than a wolfโs agenda.
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H_Hjasik โ Strong Village. The push on Possessed began for poor reasons, but as I said in the thread yesterday, Hjasik is BD. The way their thought process comes is purely from a town PoV, as in seeing Poss start the match with fillers and then not reacting well to their questions. Yes, it is bad reasoning as this was during the RVS stage, but this is to be expect from level 1 villagers, so I see Hjasikโs vote on Poss more of a case of ignorance rather than malice.
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Astand โ Lean Village. I liked his attempt at getting discarded classes as it works as a very strong reaction test, being that not only does it require players to immediately claim their discarded role but also gives zero information to the wolves. Him voting DatBird after towncoring him was weird as this progression isnโt natural and Iโd expect Astand to be more reluctant in believing and sorting out this dumb thunderdome. I want to see his argument with Frost develop further as I donโt have a strong read on either player yet. Additionally his conclusion of the Margaret and DatBird arguments mirror exactly what I ultimately thought, this plus not wanting to PKR to be healed amongst other stuff is making me see him have a villagerโs perspective. As an additional note his argument with Simon effectively means that both of them are likely never in the same wolf faction, so Simon flipping a member of a wolf faction should absolutely clear Astand of being a member of that same faction.
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BlueStorm โ Neutral Claim. See what I Said regarding Fireslol. Donโt kill him nor Fireslol otherwise weโll be making yet another NK for us to lynch.
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Frostwolf โ Lean Village. Frost here is being an overall mixed bag when it comes to the signals that he is sending to me. Him stating that reads are useless the first day bring a sense of carelessness and lack of awareness to his own imagine, but him refusing to give Astand his discarded class is just odd. A Blue Dragon-aligned player should not have a reason to hide their discarded class, however outright denying the request for the discarded class feels that this makes Frostwolf not self-aware enough of his own image. This interaction felt completely the opposite of a planned one, so Frost and Astand are never the members of the same wolf faction.
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Jake - Strong Wolf. For starters, his vote at the EoD was on a player whoโs obviously a villager, secondly rather than advance the game-state he is only shutting down questions and fluff-posting rather than the opposite. He needs to be rid of as soon as possible by mechanical means. If we get close to MyLo, he needs to be lynched immediately. Frankly, Iโd put this as effectively an outed wolf, the only reason why I donโt want to lynch him is that Iโm quite sure that we must have a way or another of getting rid of him mechanically as in another Butler.
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Alice โ Lock Village - Me, duh. Should be obvious.
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Simon โ Lean Wolf. Point is, Simon has one of the most fluffiest ISOs so far despite having a post count in the triple digit, so I did not find much in-game content within it. Iโm quite sure that if either Simon or Astand flips wolf then the other one is cleared of being in the same faction as the other, considering the fluidity of argument regarding Astandโs n0 check. His final vote on Possessedโs wagon was overall terrible, so if his wagon was not pure then Iโm leaning on Simon or Luxy to be the wolf.
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PoisonedSquid โ Strong Wolf. Her inactivity notwithstanding, I really hated her reaction to Possessedโs wagon. So far Maximus and Possessed were the only players she had a meaningful interaction in the thread, however due to her conflict with Maximus I doubt both of them are in the same wolf team together. What solidifies my read on her is the fact that rather than vote and engage with Possessed, a mislynch from the d1 wagons, is that she spent her time only in the sidelines and just FoSโd him rather than voting him. This behavior generally comes from a wolf as by egging on a wagon and not voting is a common way to further a mislynch without directly being responsible for the it, and she should be lynch as soon as possible if Maximus flips BD. I would not clear her on Maximus flipping W due to the multiball nature of the match, however.
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MathBlade โ Null. Just subbed in. Iโll probably wait some time until I make a solid read on you, my love. Iโm not factoring in Jamesโ actions for obvious reasons. However since Math is the only other Level 3 player other than me in this match then he needs to be approached with caution and not be lightly townread.
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Luxy โ Lean Wolf. I still need more time to read Luxy, most notably probe into his train of thought and how he arrived as his conclusions in the previous day. I disagree with Possโ read that heโs a villager for how he is solvey for two reasons. First I am town reading Noz, the main person he is pushing and Luxyโs main method to play wolf is to powerwolf, so this, as in pushing Noz and Poss, isnโt completely out of his wolf range, especially as after voting for Poss in the end despite the fact that Noz, one of his earlier scumreads, were one of the first players to have been on his d1 wagon, which is why I still want more time to sort him out.
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Sulit โ Lean Village. My read on Sulit will really depend on how much I can further gauge his experience as the game progresses. From a first glance Iโm assuming heโs a new and inexperienced player, so him being proactive when it comes to solving is a good look. I do agree with his vote on Squid to a point, so this is likely where I will follow at the beginning of the second day. Frankly the only spotty thing I can find in his ISO is that heโs scumhunting way too selectively, as in hunting for neutral killers over pack wolves.
