ToS Mafia - Day 8 - (3/19) [Town wins!]

it does seem quite hedgey (i think thats the word) especially the read on bep

i am intrigued on the squid tinfoil as well

Yea none of those are/were solid bc at the end of the day they are just vibe checks.

Youā€™ll get some more solid stuff once I get the chance to read the thread more thoroughly

Isnā€™t this the point of d1
well I failed my task so im back here to read 500+ posts

@clonedcheese

did you ever answer this?

Vote Count

Votee Voted by Votes
Arete SirDerpsAlot, clonedcheese, eevee, Marshal 4/10
Possessed Anjic89 1/10
JakeTheWolfie jmwjmw27, Arete 2/10
bepwei Possessed 1/10
Marshal JakeTheWolfie 1/10
darth_tabor sulit 1/10
Currently abstaining players Wazza, Frostwolf103, katze, PoisonedSquid, darth_tabor, Diggity69, Andrej, Universal, bepwei 9

Not to my recall so ill do it here, maybe I answered it before and am repeating self because Iā€™m not very coherent today

Iā€™m always suspicious of early reads, not really any games I can point to because Iā€™ve only played so many games online.

From my point of view:

  1. you give out a list that says ā€œhere are the people that are town, you should trust meā€
  2. then you proceed to boost credibility by ā€œhardclaimingā€ sheriff

IMO if you were actually the sheriff you would have no benefit on publicly ā€œclearingā€ people

Thatā€™s why my voteā€™s still on you. For others, well take this with a grain of salt because I am notorious for misjudging people

alright

so from your point of view

if I think someone is town

I should just ā€¦ not say anything about that? pretend I donā€™t think that?

yup
that would be correct

the forum will not let me just hold down the ? key and send that as a message

3 Likes

why ā€¦ do you think that

Ah so youā€™re not townie?

why would you think this

hold on Iā€™m writing up my response

Well you didn't try hard enough

???

Let me explain, from my perspective:
I see 4 cases where a public townread d1 could happen:

  1. N0 cop + townies. This doesnā€™t exist, so thatā€™s out.
  2. Mafia + scumbuddies, to clear buddies
  3. Mafia + townies, to pocket townies
  4. Townie + people - > what youā€™re claiming

But how would you benefit from publicly showing your judgements as a Townie, especially as early as d1? You share your opinion that may be wrong, and in the best case scenario you get everyone to agree to not lynch those people. In the worst case scenario you falsely clear scum, and give them an easy platform that they can just ride on. I think the risk outweighs the benefits. As time goes on itā€™s important to share information to actually figure out whoā€™s who, but at this point we just have so little evidence. And we do see Arete admitting that those were just gut feelings - why would you clear people based on gut feels? I sense something more.

Also, I just think that a townlist just has a much more probability coming from scum, as mentioned in points #2 and #3.

The cop claim was sketchy, as Iā€™ve mentioned before - townread list + credibility = deepwolf.

All of these combined, Iā€™m still voting for Arete.

Thank you for coming to my TED talk. Again, although I may be horribly wrong here, but I firmly believe that I am correct.

oh wow the forum actually limits the number of questionmarks

I am not interested in copypaste

what copypaste

Okay let me explain why everything about your Mafia philosophy is wrong regardless of your alignment this game

there are a couple main reasons why itā€™s beneficial to share townreads as a townie

the first is that the more people share their thought processes the easier it is to read those people, but thatā€™s not actually the main one I want to talk about

Iā€™m going to use the example of a 12v3 Mountainous game (so, no PRs) to explain this because itā€™s easier if I donā€™t have to say ā€˜but also thereā€™s a 3p killer and also protectives might get savesā€™ when thatā€™s not really the point

so you have your 12v3 Mountainous game

Mafia needs to get 5 total mislynches across the entire game to win, before the town can get 3 correct lynches

now letā€™s say that 5 of the 12 townies get cleared as such

Mafia now have to get 5 mislynches in 7 people rather than 5 mislynches in 12 people, which is a lot harder of a job for them

if 8 of the 12 townies can be cleared as such over the course of the game with no misclears then thatā€™s just auto (bear in mind that this includes, like, the people dying to nightkill)

So I am cleared by him to his guts? That is incorrect

And no that doesnā€™t mean I am 100% cleared, just light town lean

thatā€™s a big if

As previously stated, Iā€™m expressing my suspicion of a more-than-possible deepwolf here.