[VFM] JoaT^2 - (6/15) - šŸ˜¹ Pirates (Town) Win!

This is so weird and itā€™s the thing that pinged me the most early game

You donā€™t need to feel bad for yeeting me, even though Iā€™m town. I know itā€™s necessary after all, and I can feel satisfied knowing that if Iā€™m yeeted, itā€™ll help town get on the right track. Also, if I was a wolf, do you really think Iā€™d be pushing this hard on a villager knowing how bad Iā€™d look when he flipped V? The on;ly possible world where Iā€™m wolf has Gorta as my scumbuddy for just that reason. As to whether Iā€™d push him this hard if he was my scumbuddy, I can honestly see myself doing it right now in a world where weā€™re both wolves. Sure, it would be risky, but the benefits of being a deepwolf greatly outweigh the risks and you all know how good I am of convincing others that Iā€™m town as a wolf.

ok from my pov it goes (unordered)

++
Vulgard
Leafia
Intensify
Flameo

==
SDA
Io
PK
Gorta

ā€“
Wazza
Sulit

I think this is also a good look for Leafia if I had to be honest

Scum Leafia cares more about her slot

1 Like

Iā€™m not completely against this because if Iā€™m executed, youā€™ll likely be next when they see that Iā€™m town.

Iā€™d be okay with me, you, or Sulit getting yeeted today honestly.

I think Iā€™ll head to bed too. Good night everyone.

Vote Count

Vote Target Voted by Votes
an_gorta_pratai Intensify, Flameo 2/6
Flameo SirDerpsAlot 1/6
Leafia Wazza, Vulgard, an_gorta_pratai 3/6
sulit CallMeIo, Leafia 2/6

Ping me if I missed any votes

/vote sulit

@SirDerpsALot You still think Flameoā€™s a wolf?

Vote Count

Vote Target Voted by Votes
an_gorta_pratai Intensify, Flameo 2/6
Flameo SirDerpsAlot 1/6
Leafia Wazza, an_gorta_pratai 2/6
sulit CallMeIo, Leafia, Vulgard 3/6

Ping me if I missed any votes

What do you think about my points on Sulit?

Two takes on the gamestate.

  1. Wolves are doing fuck all.

That would be consistent with how Mole got yeeted. Six votes, five from solid townreads and the sixth one from Leafia. No counterwagons that gained a lot of traction, no solid defenses other than soft defenses and Derpsā€™ discrediting of my push without evidence / arguments. The wagon on Mole was rather stale and the movement on Flameo was too little, too late. Mole was playing in an underwhelming way, and yet possibly wasnā€™t getting bussed day 1, depending on how you look at it.

My thoughts about this are not very organized, but itā€™s a possible universe.

Looking back at day 1 major wagons, itā€™s not impossible wolf!gorta (or even wolf!mole) got saved by wolves. Both sulit and gorta being on ash is a thing, and their votes + Elephas propel the wagon above Mole. For gorta, Wiisp is the one propelling the wagon, but the wagon on gorta as a whole looks very pure. Two people who have been townread by most people in the game, plus a flipped villager.

By comparison, Leafiaā€™s vote on Io looks pretty much useless, same with Wazzaā€™s. Itā€™s okay for wolves to create two V counterwagons, assuming Io is town, but Mole had two votes, so wolves needed a wagon with at least three. Piling on gorta / ash seems like the easiest way to achieve that. And, conveniently, CatLover/Wiisp/Flameo/gorta/sulit did just that.

I know sulit has already declared she wasnā€™t around at EoD, but looking at this in a vacuum, thatā€™s pretty much the truth.

Of the people I listed, I think CatLover/Wiisp/Flameo have been independently towny enough to remove them from the pile. Also, gortaā€™s vote could just be seen as self-pres on ash, admittedly. If we had w/w/v wagons day 1, then wolves really want to be on ash to get a misyeet. That looks very damning for Flameo, if we ignore everything else.

Knowing gortaā€™s alignment is paramount here, because it lets us know if wolves were piling on ash as the only village option or not.

Also, no idea what Moleā€™s vote is doing on Wiisp. I suppose he wasnā€™t available at EoD? Wolves mightā€™ve felt safe, since sulit also wasnā€™t around at EoD and happens to be my suspect. Going that route, gorta might be town.

If gorta/ash are both town, it would benefit wolves to split their votes instead of piling.

I donā€™t think this VCA is getting me anywhere.

  1. Wolves hardbussed and are sitting pretty in the wagon.

Thatā€™s pretty much only an option if Leafia is a wolf, from my point of view, possibly with CatLover. Iā€™m town, Elephas flipped town, and Wiisp was hardpushed by Mole all game.

In that world, Leafia would be playing in a rather suicidal way right now, despite being in a good spot as the second voter on Mole and someone who openly argued with him in the thread. That said, it would be a world where we might struggle to solve.

Thatā€™sā€¦ it. This direction of solving isnā€™t really helping me.

I think the game isnā€™t easily solvable if we donā€™t yeet gorta eventually, given what has been happening with the wagons.

Oh no, I agree with your definition. I shade/diminish credibility of my scumreads, because scum should not get a louder voice than town or be listened to more. Shading people is not just a scum activity in the same vein that slanking wouldnā€™t be. You should look at the motivations, not the actions.

What I did to you was not solely shade. It was also part pressure/part genuine scumread.

Of course, thereā€™s also the world where wolves had literally no influence over EoD, which would be consistent with who the final votes on each wagon were cast by. Flameo (solid townread), Wiisp (solid townread), me (town), Leafia (possibly town). Mole wasted his vote completely, sulit wasnā€™t even around to swap it, and gorta self-pressed. Given how strongly I feel about our towncore, that might be exactly the world we live in. A world where wolves donā€™t have anything to do / donā€™t want anything to do.

The fact Mole was rather deflated and didnā€™t know where to push might also indicate that no wolf agenda exists and the mafia are just trying to survive. Which would point in the direction of the players least inclined to solve.

I donā€™t think Mole really hardpushed anyone. Iā€™m on mobile, so canā€™t do fancy quotes and what not.

Which is exactly why I think the wolves might just beā€¦ in a terrible position, and are not doing anything. He wasnā€™t doing anything in thread, just posting and existing.

Other players who remind me of that are sulit and gorta (until he leveled up).

I think gorta should go first if we think about it that way, because his flip also has the added benefit of letting us see what the wagons were at EoD 1.

1 Like

I specifically mean here that he wasnā€™t ā€œhardpushingā€ Wisp all game. I really miss my quotes.