I really should start following threads before replacing lmao
aelin only had access to mobile so wasnāt in thread very much but i did an ISO on her last night and found her kinda villagery but itās not that strong
i donāt always do this lol, i just remember casually following, seeing the thread blow up right before the leafia yeet, came back to see her flip jailkeeper.
checked in later, saw marshal get tunnelled for ccāing leafia, thought she was pretty wolfy for that as well, saw thread blow up again
came back later in the day, saw marshal post something that made me think she was town, then didnāt come back to check the flips until i agreed to replace in
for a second when i caught up on the thread i actually thought Night had flipped but apparently not, and i havenāt read the entire progression on when the wagon formed on her so i donāt know whose votes were on her or marshal yet.
the NKs and the jailkeeper claims and whatever resulted from them in combination give me a decent idea of the game thoughā¦ i donāt think reading through a mess of arguments in the thread is really worthwhile so thatās why I said Iām just gonna ISO people
well, i hope iām easier to read in this game lol
i still have wim because i ignored some of the stuff in the thread and stopped reading it after a point lol
Earlier in D2 I liked some of the evaluation I saw her giving of Marshal. So I put her as a slight TL.
But today I saw that she was trying to push me and someone else for being on her wagon. That just seems so strange from her perspective. I mean, the reason people think my EoD looked wolfy was that it looks like me jumping in there to save a partner. But from a T!Night perspective, she should know thatās not true. So then it makes me think she could be wolf trying to get another ML before sheās taken out.
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iām not super keen on yeeting nuclear or whysper right nowā¦ i know they both replaced into lowposting slots who were getting scumread and they were potentially LHFsā¦ I havenāt honestly seen enough posts from either slot to give an opinion so iām solving the higher posters first, but I think if I manage to solve the high posters the lower posting slots will sort of come with the solve. There are some association reads I noted down that tie together between some of the higher posters and the lower posters and I think itās going to be useful to look at.
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if Night was a viable CW to Marshal yesterday btw, I do think thereās a pretty good chance she flips wolf
thereās more reasoning than that but thatās a very large reason
i donāt think all three of you are mafia
the replacements into poe slots are being villagery
oh no
off the top of my head im leaning toward cloned/PKR/night containing a wolf or two or three
emilia is town
if iām wrong you can kill me and weāll lose and it will be the shortest game iāve ever played
like i actually think itās very likely emilia is town, i donāt remember seeing anyone else say this
didnāt see too many people pushing her but saw a number of āher posting is scummyā comments and i actually donāt think so for a couple of reasons
I think if emilia is town, cloned and PKR look worse. I saw some interesting interactions between Emi and PKR and I forget exactly which post it was but there was a very unaligned-looking interaction between them. Cloned is throwing shade on Emilia, notably included her in his PoE after I listed the slots i was going to look at, and I saw a couple of flipped villagers say they thought cloned was mafia.
havenāt ISOād Night yet so iām not totally sure if i can read her off emiliaās slot
will ISO both Cloned and PKR to see if I can verify that this fits together correctly
Iām solving with this method simply because I decided to ISO emilia first after checking her post count lol.
I think there was a decent wealth of information in her interactions with others, so itās definitely something to go off and Iām working through the slots that look bad from what I saw.
Then after i work through those slots, Iāll move onto the next set of interactions with those slots to see where it leads me.
if iām efficient i should be able to get a handful of reads tonight and have a proper PoE established well before EoD, which is ideally what Iād like to work with so i donāt have to read through a spontaneous shouting match in the thread.
Since you mention PKR, I saw some recent posts where he was pushing on my slot. I think it was mostly going off stuff from the previous slot owner. And probably also my EoD. I could see where he might be working with Night to get me MLād before her.
the primary reasons i think emilia is town are:
- she said sulit probably w if marshal v, which is a funny statement to make if she knows sulit is v and will flip v that night. I think it shows lack of TMI. (if there was a followup where she rescinded that statement, point me to it, but i didnāt see one.)
- she claimed jailkeeper 4th, after leafia, marshal and gghana claimed. i think all 4 of them are likely villagers and 2 have flipped so far. gghana is the least cleared by this but i see basically no point at all in a wolf claiming jk after the cc because wolves would be happy to let two villagers cc each other as it almost always (and in this case, did) guarantees that both of them get yeeted. the one who looked the worst was marshal specifically because she retracted the claim, but marshal flipped v so lol.
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