[Winter Event] JoaTJoaTJoaT13 - Mafia wins!

oh i would

Well I wonā€™t vote myself, but its correct for the other villagers to vote me when the day comes to a close.

if he somehow flips town arctic is probably not scm

i am suprisesd tbh

Oh, Wind, I forgotā€¦ are you still looking at the idea that scum have been pushing the MLs on inactives/scum?

Because I invite you to look at the first person on Illwei, the first person on Shurian, and the hammerer on SirDerpsAlot.

Hereā€™s whats going to happen. Iā€™m going to list the reasons Iā€™m a villager. Either you believe me or you donā€™t. If you donā€™t, I die.

If you do

We can talk about who to kill.

I think PKR, of the three, would have the worst odds of surviving lylo if v so think theyā€™re the most mechanically optimal.

that makes sense, but Iā€™m not confbiasing myself here. I had previously confbiased me into townreading you the entire game, so Iā€™m un-confbiasting myself to look at the bigger picture.

ok. and I never see Arctic as scum here for reasons Iā€™ve mentioned before.

yes, and any of you/Intensify/Maple could have taken that idea and pushed it.

I already know the answer to that. I wrote an entire case on it and convinced myself that Maple was scum, but now Iā€™m trying to un-convince myself. Iā€™m reversing my reads to see what happens, and something is very off.

I think pkr is the best kill today, but they arenā€™t always the best kill tomorrow if I die.

Apparently Iā€™m a new user of the month

Thatā€™s cute

what are your reasons for thinking PKR is the best kill today?

Evidently you didnā€™t actually read what I said, so Iā€™ll do the heavy lifting for you @WindwardAway.
This 1) either pokes a hole in your theory or 2) redefines who you should be looking at with it

I recognize that Intensify is on all three as well, donā€™t worry.

Letā€™s talk strategy. PKR is the player worst suited to defending theirself if V out of my PoE.

If light is a villager, maybe they can convince others

If intensify is a villager, maybe they can convince others

PKR? I skimmed today, Iā€™ve played the game, theyā€™re the lowest hanging fruit. If we kill a villager and ive miscleared someone, theyā€™re the person least likely to convince me theyā€™re a villager.

This is a pretty standard strategic practice, idk if people do that here

Spicy

So to recap: theyre in my poe and I think have a >66% chance to flip wolf.

If they are a villager, I believe they are the most likely to be liable to lose a Fx scenario.

Therefore jts the most mechanically optimal kill from my perspective.

Iā€™m surprised Iā€™m still alive.
I just wish I was killed to be put out of my misery tbh.

But I know that at this point we are like 2 lynches away from a loss so I have to fight tooth and nail

Okay, feel free to do so.

How long left in day? 26 or so?

From my perspective we have 3 person PoE too. But my issue is that theyā€™re absolutely the team if youā€™re town and if not then Iā€™m going to have to reevaluate hard.